Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Minerva		Deportivo Marítimo

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.85	2.6
	2.62	2.88	2.62
	2.67	3.02	2.67	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.63
	2.66	3.14	2.66
	2.71	2.75	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.28)	2.92 ↓ (3.13)	2.65 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minerva
34.5%

Draw
31.1%

Deportivo Marítimo
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

29.1%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28.1%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minerva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minerva's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minerva than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minerva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Marítimo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Minerva - Deportivo Marítimo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Cortes F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Minerva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Minerva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Minerva	5	2	2	1	3:2	1	8
16	Deportivo Maritimo	4	1	0	3	2:7	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SFC Minerva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.12.25	Unión Molinense - Minerva	5:1 ✺
14.12.25	Minerva - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Santomera - Minerva	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Minerva - Caravaca	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Cieza - Minerva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- Deportivo Marítimo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.12.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Pulpileño	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Águilas B - Deportivo Marítimo	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Deportivo Marítimo - UCAM Murcia B	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Mazarrón - Deportivo Marítimo	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Deportivo Marítimo - El Palmar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.03.25	Minerva - Deportivo Marítimo	1:0
27.10.24	Deportivo Marítimo - Minerva	3:1

Minerva - Deportivo Marítimo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide