Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Muleño		Caravaca

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.92	2.52
	2.75	2.98	2.54
	7.97	4.02	1.41	Watch
	2.7	2.92	2.5
	2.75	2.9	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (2.16)	3.15 ↓ (3.16)	2.3 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muleño
26%

Draw
31.2%

Caravaca
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.6%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muleño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muleño's form might have worsened.

Caravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caravaca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muleño than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muleño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caravaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Muleño - Caravaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muleño won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Muleño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Muleño could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Muleño won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Muleño won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Caravaca - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 29.53%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muleño CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
17.01.26	Águilas B - Muleño	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Cieza - Muleño	4:1 ✺
04.01.26	Muleño - UCAM Murcia B	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Muleño - Bala Azul	2:1 ✺
16.12.25	Mazarrón - Muleño	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLTWL
- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
18.01.26	Caravaca - Cieza	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Real Murcia B - Caravaca	4:3 ✺
11.01.26	Caravaca - Bala Azul	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Olímpico de Totana - Caravaca	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Caravaca - Cartagena B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
13.09.25	Caravaca - Muleño	2:0
26.01.25	Muleño - Caravaca	1:1
30.03.24	Muleño - Caravaca	0:0
12.11.23	Caravaca - Muleño	0:1
23.04.23	Muleño - Caravaca	3:4
18.12.22	Caravaca - Muleño	1:1

Muleño - Caravaca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide