Match Info

I Liqa - Round 3

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday


	Mingachevir		Gəncəbasar

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.30	2.88
	2.38	3.38	2.62	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.25
	3.16	3.60	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (1.5)	3.38 ↓ (3.8)	2.43 ↓ (6.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mingachevir
35.5%

Draw
27%

Gəncəbasar
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

24.2%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mingachevir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mingachevir's form might have worsened.

Gəncəbasar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gəncəbasar's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mingachevir - Gəncəbasar Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mingachevir will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gəncəbasar will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Gəncəbasar (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gəncəbasar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Gəncəbasar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mingachevir is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Gancabasar	3	3	0	0	7:2	5	9
8	Mingachevir	3	0	1	2	3:7	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mingachevir FK
Azerbaijan First Division
10.09.26	Səbail - Mingachevir	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Mingachevir - Zagatala	2:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
28.05.26	Gabala - Mingachevir	2:0 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
22.05.26	Mingachevir - Səbail	4:1 ✺
15.05.26	Mingachevir - MOIK Baku	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLWW

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