Match Info

I Liqa - Round 5

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Mingachevir		Shimal

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.45	2.00
	3.11	3.81	1.94	Watch
	4.00	3.50	1.65
	4.77	3.65	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (1.89)	3.6 ↑ (3.35)	1.8 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mingachevir
24.5%

Draw
25.1%

Shimal
50.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mingachevir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mingachevir's form might have worsened.

Shimal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shimal's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Mingachevir - Shimal Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shimal will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mingachevir (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shimal will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mingachevir (votes: 1 - 25%). Shimal (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 9th in the I Liqa (Relegation) and 8th).

Mingachevir is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Mingachevir has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:1 (averaging 3:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mingachevir against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Shimal	4	0	2	2	4:8	-4	2
9	Mingachevir	4	0	1	3	3:10	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mingachevir FK
Azerbaijan First Division
09.10.26	MOIK Baku - Mingachevir	3:0 ✺
17.09.26	Mingachevir - Gəncəbasar	0:3 ✺
10.09.26	Səbail - Mingachevir	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Mingachevir - Zagatala	2:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
28.05.26	Gabala - Mingachevir	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- FK Shimal
Azerbaijan First Division
09.10.26	Shimal - Xankəndi	1:1 ✺
17.09.26	Shimal - Shahdag Qusar	1:4 ✺
11.09.26	MOIK Baku - Shimal	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Shimal - Cəbrayıl	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	Cəbrayıl - Shimal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
09.04.26	Shimal - Mingachevir	0:3
07.02.26	Shimal - Mingachevir	0:3
16.10.25	Mingachevir - Shimal	3:1

Mingachevir - Shimal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide