Match Info

I Lyga - Round 1

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday


	Jonava		Minija Kretinga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.80	4.10	1.44
	7.01	4.50	1.39
	6.60	4.04	1.44	Watch
	6.00	3.90	1.40
	6.45	4.30	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.37 ↑ (5.18)	4.17 ↑ (3.93)	1.41 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jonava
14.2%

Draw
21.7%

Minija Kretinga
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

23.2%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

22.7%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Minija Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Jonava - Minija Kretinga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ TOPLYGA).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jonava won 2.

Jonava has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Minija is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Minija is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Jonava won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 2.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jonava won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 3.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FK Minija	25	22	1	2	68:13	55	67
11	Jonava	25	7	6	12	28:33	-5	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jonava
Lithuanian Division 2
30.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Jonava	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Jonava - Babrungas Plungė	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Tauras Tauragė - Jonava	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Jonava - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Dainava Alytus - Jonava	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL
- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Division 2
29.05.26	Babrungas Plungė - Minija Kretinga	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Minija Kretinga - Tauras Tauragė	2:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
19.05.26	Pempininkai - Minija Kretinga	1:4 ET ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
16.05.26	Neptūnas - Minija Kretinga	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Minija Kretinga - Dainava Alytus	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
18.10.25	Minija Kretinga - Jonava	0:1
13.06.25	Jonava - Minija Kretinga	0:0
19.08.23	Jonava - Minija Kretinga	1:2
01.04.23	Minija Kretinga - Jonava	3:0
24.09.21	Jonava - Minija Kretinga	8:0
12.06.21	Minija Kretinga - Jonava	1:2
06.06.20	Minija Kretinga - Jonava	1:2

Upcoming Matches