Match Info

I Lyga - Round 21

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Dainava Alytus		Atmosfera Mažeikiai

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.40	3.25
	1.98	3.40	3.10
	1.86	3.54	3.42
	1.9	3.66	3.41	Watch
	1.84	3.50	3.35
	1.98	3.63	3.32
	2.2	3.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.25)	3.5 ↑ (3.43)	3.22 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dainava Alytus
46.2%

Draw
25.7%

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

26.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

25.1%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dainava Alytus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dainava Alytus's performance.

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atmosfera Mažeikiai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Dainava Alytus - Atmosfera Mažeikiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Girdvainis G. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Cepononis P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dainava won 5.

Dainava is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atmosfera is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atmosfera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dainava has had a series of home games.

Dainava might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dainava won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:2. (average 3.6:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dainava won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:2. (average 4.8:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Dainava Alytus	26	11	8	7	37:27	10	41
9	Atmosfera	24	8	6	10	37:33	4	30

Last Results with these Odds

Dainava Alytus - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.33%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian Division 2
15.08.26	Dainava Alytus - BFA Vilnius	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Babrungas Plungė	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
28.07.26	Dainava Alytus - Transinvest 2	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Dainava Alytus - Neptūnas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWTWW
- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
14.08.26	Transinvest 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - FA Šiauliai B	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Hegelmann Litauen 2	4:1 ✺
01.07.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
18.04.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Dainava Alytus	0:2
30.09.22	Dainava Alytus - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	5:0
28.05.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Dainava Alytus	0:3
Lithuanian Cup
30.06.20	Dainava Alytus - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:0
Lithuanian Division 2
06.06.20	Dainava Alytus - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:1
28.07.19	Dainava Alytus - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	9:1
31.03.19	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Dainava Alytus	0:1

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