Match Info

I Lyga - Round 10

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Kretinga Stadium (Kretinga)


	Minija Kretinga		Panevėžys 2

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	4
	1.77	3.9	3.6	Watch
	1.8	3.8	3.58
	1.78	4.04	3.57	Watch
	1.74	3.88	3.76
	1.77	3.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.82)	3.92 ↓ (4.58)	3.69 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minija Kretinga
52.1%

Draw
23.2%

Panevėžys 2
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

19.9%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

19%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minija Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Panevėžys 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Panevėžys 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panevėžys 2 than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Minija Kretinga - Panevėžys 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tek D. A. (G) 3. Diawara M. 17. Ellah C. 25. Gunji K. 23. Jankauskas J. 21. Kazlauskas V. (C) 6. Kirjanov E. 8. Pipiras D. 11. Putvinas A. 30. Sabitu T. 5. Sidibe M. A.	13. Bukel D. (G) 66. Balsys D. 23. Dzinga E. 77. Laimikis L. 11. Lazdinauskas R. 10. Misiunas R. (C) 29. Okpanachi J. 18. Puikis E. 21. Pusnys M. 30. Slobodian A. 16. Sonkevicius K.
Substitutes
27. Aziz Romba A. 12. Baya T. 43. Diawara B. 7. Kasparavicius J. 19. Keblys M. 20. Lubys O. 22. Pipiras A. (G) 9. Velyvis M.	2. Gleveckas D. 9. Jusys A. 34. Matulevicius A. 99. Raskauskas R. 3. Slikas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Pusnys M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gunji K. ↓, Keblys M. ↑,
56', 🟨,
56', 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Kasparavicius J. (Pen),
70', 2 - 0, Velyvis M. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minija won 4.

Recent performances by Minija have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Panevėžys 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Panevėžys 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Minija could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Minija won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Minija won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Cup
21.05.25	Minija Kretinga - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
18.05.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Minija Kretinga	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Minija Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	BFA Vilnius - Minija Kretinga	1:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
29.04.25	Nevėžis - Minija Kretinga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWWLW
- FK Panevėžys 2
Lithuanian Division 2
20.05.25	Panevėžys 2 - FA Šiauliai B	0:4 ✺
09.05.25	Jonava - Panevėžys 2	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Panevėžys 2	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	Panevėžys 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	4:2 ✺
18.04.25	BFA Vilnius - Panevėžys 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
08.11.24	Minija Kretinga - Panevėžys 2	1:1
21.06.24	Panevėžys 2 - Minija Kretinga	1:3
07.10.23	Minija Kretinga - Panevėžys 2	4:1
22.05.23	Panevėžys 2 - Minija Kretinga	1:2
09.07.22	Minija Kretinga - Panevėžys 2	2:1
21.03.22	Panevėžys 2 - Minija Kretinga	0:0
12.09.21	Panevėžys 2 - Minija Kretinga	4:0

Minija Kretinga - Panevėžys 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide