Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro)

Referee: Vidal J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, Footballclub


	Mirandés		Unionistas de Salamanca

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.25
	1.44	4.00	5.50
	1.49	3.95	5.5
	1.55	4	5.78
	1.49	4.19	6.3	Watch
	1.51	3.9	5.7
	1.57	3.98	5.5
	1.48	3.9	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.72)	3.97 ↑ (3.67)	5.59 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
60.7%

Draw
23%

Unionistas de Salamanca
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

25.3%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.7%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirandés's performance.

Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirandés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+4%)

Mirandés - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruiz J. (G) 22. Aguirregabiria M. 21. Arambarri A. 4. Navarro C. 17. Perez P. 19. Riki 16. Lozano M. (C) 8. Martinez R. 23. Dorrio J. 11. Uzkudun A. 9. Unzueta I.	1. Daza A. (G) 2. Morer D. 3. Serrano M. 16. Rivera G. 23. Caballo D. 20. Casas A. 14. Marcelo A. 10. de la Nava C. (C) 11. Gomez A. 9. Ferrer P. 7. de Bustos H.
Substitutes
3. Arrillaga H. 14. Auria M. 13. Badia E. (G) 7. de la Iglesia D. 10. Espinosa N. 15. Pedernales I. 18. Rodri 5. Rodriguez P. 6. Verde A.	22. Chatiliez W. 6. Gil A. 5. Luis Alcalde 4. Mayor R. 19. Mutilva C. 24. Pastor G. 21. Retu 17. Saidi A. 28. Victor D. E. (G)
Coaches
Muneta A.	Medina J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Riki ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Perez P. ↓, Arrillaga H. ↑,
64', Serrano M. 🟨,
67', de la Nava C. ↓, Luis Alcalde ↑,
67', de Bustos H. ↓, Chatiliez W. ↑,
67', Casas A. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
70', Dorrio J. ↓, Espinosa N. ↑,
70', Unzueta I. ↓, Verde A. ↑,
73', Chatiliez W. 🟨,
74', Riki ↓, Rodri ↑,
74', Navarro C. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
80', Caballo D. ↓, Retu ↑,
83', Aguirregabiria M. 🟨,
85', Morer D. ↓, Saidi A. ↑,
88', Verde A. 🟨,
88', Luis Alcalde 🟨,
90+1', Uzkudun A. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Recently, Mirandés has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Unionistas has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Mirandés carries the favorite tag into this contest.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mirandes	6	3	1	2	9:7	2	10
15	Unionistas	6	2	0	4	9:12	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.09.26	Real Unión de Irun - Mirandés	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Mérida AD - Mirandés	3:4 ✺
05.09.26	Mirandés - UD Ourense	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Cacereño - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.26	UD Logroñés - Mirandés	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWLL
- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.09.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - UD Ourense	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Real Avilés - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	2:4 ✺
30.08.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Lugo	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLW

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