Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 18

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio São Sebastião (Mirandela)


	Mirandela		Ribeira Brava

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.15	3.9
	1.9	3.04	3.97
	1.9	3.15	4	Watch
	1.91	2.9	3.8
	1.85	3.02	4.35
	1.9	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.8)	3.06 ↓ (3.48)	3.97 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandela
47.8%

Draw
29.5%

Ribeira Brava
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

26%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

21.3%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ribeira Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandela than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirandela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ribeira Brava than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ribeira Brava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mirandela - Ribeira Brava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Mirandela has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ribeira Brava is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mirandela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mirandela is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirandela won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Mirandela
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
07.02.26	Celoricense - Mirandela	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Mirandela - Vilaverdense	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Camacha - Mirandela	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Mirandela - Machico	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Mirandela - Brito	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWW
- CD Ribeira Brava
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.02.26	Bragança - Ribeira Brava	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Ribeira Brava - São Martinho	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Ribeira Brava - Celoricense	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Vilaverdense - Ribeira Brava	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Ribeira Brava - Camacha	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
27.09.25	Ribeira Brava - Mirandela	1:0

Mirandela - Ribeira Brava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide