Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+
Greece	Nova Sports Start
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Spain	Aragon TV, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	TV4 Play
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Mirandés		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.85	Watch
	2.52	3	2.82
	2.66	3.11	2.99
	6.54	3.67	1.57	Watch
	2.56	3.18	2.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.41)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	2.64 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
30.2%

Draw
31.5%

Zaragoza
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.6%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27.9%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mirandés's form might have worsened.

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zaragoza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mirandés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	27.3%	36.4%

Mirandés - Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirandés: 16.3% – 56.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mirandés (1.82) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 3 - 60%). Zaragoza (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nikic I. (G) 2. Novoa Ramos H. 5. Pica A. 21. Postigo S. 22. Gutierrez J. 3. Medrano F. 26. Bauza R. 19. Illesca M. 29. Lopez P. 9. Petit G. 10. Fernandez C.	1. Andrada E. (G) 14. Francho 33. Saidu Y. 4. Insua P. 5. Tachi 15. Pomares C. 23. Cuenca M. A. 24. Akouokou P. 10. Guti R. 17. Moyano F. 9. Gomez D.
Substitutes
18. Barea Fernandez I. 11. Cardero A. 24. Cordoba I. 30. El Jebari S. 20. Eto'o E. 6. Helguera T. 13. Juanpa (G) 14. Mari A. 8. Martin Luis A. 4. Pascual M. 17. Perez P. 7. Varela I.	20. Aguirregabiria M. 6. Bare K. 11. Bazdar S. 18. de la Fuente P. 19. Kodro K. 8. Moya T. 16. Radovanovic A. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 29. Sans P. 2. Sebastian J. 3. Tasende D. 21. Valery
Coaches
Justo F.	Gabi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Saidu Y. 🟨,
26', Bauza R. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Moyano F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Medrano F. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
53', Cuenca M. A. ↓, de la Fuente P. ↑,
66', Guti R. 🟨,
67', Pica A. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
67', Fernandez C. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
71', Postigo S. ↓, Mari A. ↑,
82', Saidu Y. ↓, Bare K. ↑,
82', Gomez D. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
83', Lopez P. ↓, Varela I. ↑,
83', Moyano F. ↓, Tasende D. ↑,
85', Perez P. 🟨,
90', Varela I. 🟨,
90', Pomares C. 🟨,
90+4', Andrada E. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 1.

Recent performances by Mirandés have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zaragoza is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Mirandés: Perez P. (Inactive)

There will not play in Zaragoza: Aguirregabiria M. (Health problems) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Guti R. (Knock) Kosa S. (Knee Injury) Soberon M. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Mirandés: Novoa Ramos H. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mirandés won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 0.9:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
20.09.25	FC Andorra - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Mirandés - Deportivo A Coruña	1:5 ✺
05.09.25	Albacete Balompié - Mirandés	1:4 ✺
31.08.25	Granada - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Mirandés - Huesca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 TLWWL
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
21.09.25	Ceuta - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
15.09.25	Zaragoza - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Zaragoza - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Castellón - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Zaragoza - FC Andorra	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.07.25	Zaragoza - Mirandés	2:0
Spanish LaLiga2
06.04.25	Zaragoza - Mirandés	1:0
01.09.24	Mirandés - Zaragoza	0:0
24.03.24	Mirandés - Zaragoza	0:0
01.10.23	Zaragoza - Mirandés	0:1
08.01.23	Zaragoza - Mirandés	0:0
24.09.22	Mirandés - Zaragoza	2:0

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