Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Referee: Ojaos A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Ceuta		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.5	3.7	Watch
	2	3.3	3.6
	2.06	3.41	4
	2.04	3.25	3.75	Watch
	2.08	3.44	3.57	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.38)	3.35 ↑ (3.23)	3.58 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
45%

Draw
28.4%

Zaragoza
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.9%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

28.9%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceuta's performance.

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zaragoza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zaragoza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	53.8%	7.7%

Ceuta - Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Zaragoza (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Zaragoza (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 2 - 20%). Zaragoza (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vallejo G. (G) 17. Almenara G. 6. Hernandez C. (C) 15. Gonzalez D. 3. Matos Jose 8. Zalazar K. 5. Youness 19. Jamelli 7. Ahmed A. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M. 22. Kone K.	13. Rodriguez A. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 33. Saidu Y. 16. Radovanovic A. 3. Tasende D. 18. de la Fuente P. 24. Akouokou P. 6. Bare K. (C) 17. Moyano F. 19. Kodro K. 9. Gomez D.
Substitutes
23. Anuar 26. Bassinga A. 14. Bodiger Y. 4. Caparros A. 18. de la Fuente K. 20. Escudero A. 1. Lopez P. (G) 12. Obeng S. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 10. Rodriguez C. 25. Sanchez S. 21. Vallejo M.	1. Andrada E. (G) 12. Bakis S. 11. Bazdar S. 23. Cuenca M. A. 14. Francho 4. Insua P. 8. Moya T. 31. Pinilla H. 15. Pomares C. 29. Sans P. 5. Tachi 21. Valery
Coaches
Romero J.	Gabi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
12', Sebastian J. 🟨,
23', Zalazar K. 🟨,
29', Hernandez C. 🟨,
35', Youness 🟨,
36', de la Fuente P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sebastian J. ↓, Francho ↑,
49', Kone K. 🟨,
65', Gomez D. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
65', Kodro K. ↓, Sans P. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽, Matos Jose (A),
68', Zalazar K. ↓, Anuar ↑,
68', Youness ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
73', de la Fuente P. ↓, Valery ↑,
78', Bare K. ↓, Moya T. ↑,
78', Ahmed A. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
85', Kone K. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
85', Almenara G. ↓, Caparros A. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Ceuta: Cantero Y. (Red Card) Ortuno J. (Injury)

There will not play in Zaragoza: Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Kosa S. (Knee Injury) Tasende D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ceuta: Sanchez M. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
14.09.25	Castellón - Ceuta	3:3 ✺
07.09.25	Ceuta - Huesca	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Racing Santander - Ceuta	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	Valladolid - Ceuta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLLL
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
15.09.25	Zaragoza - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Zaragoza - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Castellón - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Zaragoza - FC Andorra	1:3 ✺
17.08.25	Real Sociedad B - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTTLL

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