Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 16

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Mirandés B		Arandina

	1	X	2
	1.92	2.98	3.95
	2.11	2.83	3.95	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.9
	1.94	2.9	4.15
	2	2.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.77)	2.87 ↓ (3.16)	3.99 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés B
45.5%

Draw
31.7%

Arandina
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

28.6%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

27.5%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mirandés B's form might have worsened.

Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés B than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mirandés B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Mirandés B - Arandina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés B (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Arandina (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés B (votes: 1 - 50%). Arandina (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Gabriel S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Gabriel S. ⚽,
74', 3 - 0, Gabriel S. ⚽,
80', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirandés B won 1.

Mirandés B is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arandina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Mirandés B is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mirandés B won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mirandés B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Arandina	5	2	2	1	7:6	1	8
17	Mirandes B	5	0	1	4	2:7	-5	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirandés B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
20.12.25	Mirandés B - Colegios Diocesanos	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Bembibre - Mirandés B	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Mirandés B - Unionistas B	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Mirandés B	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Mirandés B - Guijuelo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWT
- Arandina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
20.12.25	Bembibre - Arandina	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Arandina - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	La Virgen del Camino - Arandina	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Arandina - Atlético Mansillés	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Arandina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
23.10.24	Mirandés B - Arandina	1:3
16.04.23	Arandina - Mirandés B	0:0
18.12.22	Mirandés B - Arandina	2:3
02.02.22	Arandina - Mirandés B	0:0
04.09.21	Mirandés B - Arandina	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.05.21	Arandina - Mirandés B	2:3 ET

Mirandés B - Arandina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide