Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday


	Mirassol		Caxias

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.75
	1.85	3.55	3.5
	1.93	3.35	3.4
	1.95	3.66	3.35
	1.91	3.25	3.6
	1.97	3.18	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.63)	3.42 ↓ (3.74)	3.56 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
47.8%

Draw
26.6%

Caxias
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24.2%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

15.4%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mirassol's form might have worsened.

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caxias's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caxias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Mirassol is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Mirassol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie D
05.12.20	Caxias - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
28.11.20	Bangu - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
22.11.20	Mirassol - Cabofriense	2:0 ✺
14.11.20	Deportivo Toledo - Mirassol	0:4 ✺
08.11.20	Mirassol - FC Cascavel	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWWW
- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie D
05.12.20	Caxias - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
21.11.20	Atlético Tubarão - Caxias	1:1 ✺
13.11.20	Caxias - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
09.11.20	São Luiz - Caxias	0:0 ✺
31.10.20	Caxias - Joinville	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
05.12.20	Caxias - Mirassol	1:0
20.05.18	Mirassol - Caxias	0:2
29.04.18	Caxias - Mirassol	0:0

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