Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA PAULISTA - ROUND 6

Date: 7 August 2023, Monday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)


	Mirassol		São Bento

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	6.75
	1.5	3.5	6.5
	1.43	3.62	7.12
	1.52	3.5	6
	1.43	3.84	7.9	Watch
	1.71	3.35	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.75)	3.59 ↑ (3.2)	6.5 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
60.4%

Draw
25.5%

São Bento
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

28.6%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

27.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.

São Bento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Bento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bento than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Mirassol - São Bento Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 2.

Mirassol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches São Bento is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mirassol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mirassol is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mirassol to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Mirassol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
04.08.23	Mirassol - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
01.08.23	Mirassol - Avaí	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
29.07.23	Marília - Mirassol	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
29.07.23	Chapecoense - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
24.07.23	Mirassol - Grêmio Prudente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTWWW
- EC São Bento
Brazilian Copa Paulista
29.07.23	Grêmio Prudente - São Bento	3:0 ✺
22.07.23	São Bento - Comercial SP	0:0 ✺
15.07.23	EC Noroeste - São Bento	0:0 ✺
09.07.23	Marília - São Bento	0:0 ✺
01.07.23	São Bento - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
01.07.23	São Bento - Mirassol	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
04.02.23	São Bento - Mirassol	1:1
27.02.21	São Bento - Mirassol	1:2
22.02.19	Mirassol - São Bento	2:1
20.01.18	Mirassol - São Bento	0:0
08.04.17	São Bento - Mirassol	1:1
29.03.17	Mirassol - São Bento	0:1

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