The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Misr El-Makasa 9.9%
Draw 19.4%
Smouha 70.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.8%
27.3%
52.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.4%
26.5%
51.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Misr El-Makasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Misr El-Makasa's form might have worsened.
Smouha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Smouha's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Misr El-Makasa than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Misr El-Makasa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (-19.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Smouha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
16.7%
72.2%
Misr El Makasa - Smouha Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Misr El-Makasa will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Smouha will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Smouha: 51.5% โ 92.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Misr El-Makasa won 0.
Misr El-Makasa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Smouha is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Smouha could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Smouha is absolute favorite.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Misr El-Makasa won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 19-29.
Including matches at home between the teams Misr El-Makasa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-13.