Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 22

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Aurinegro (Santiago del Estero)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mitre		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.82	3.25
	2.30	2.75	3.30
	2.35	2.72	3.35	Watch
	2.45	2.79	3.57
	2.41	2.77	3.47	Watch
	2.40	2.75	3.50
	2.41	2.88	3.26
	2.32	2.70	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.12)	2.77 ↓ (2.87)	3.38 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitre
39.1%

Draw
33.5%

Almirante Brown
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

32.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

32.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Mitre - Almirante Brown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 6. Abello D. (C) 5. Alessandroni J. 10. Avaro E. 7. Cabral F. 2. Cabral Y. 3. Ferrari F. 9. Machado M. 11. Maldonado M. 4. Minissale P. 8. Vazquez M.	1. Galvan B. (G) 7. Abreliano M. 6. Cabral G. 4. Cardozo E. 3. Fernandez R. 5. Gauna S. 2. Levi M. 9. Martinez E. 10. Pascual L. 11. Santiago M. 8. Villoldo T.
Substitutes
18. Ferrari M. 16. Garrido O. 13. Herdt G. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 17. Lopez A. 19. Mendoza L. 15. Montenegro M. 14. Valdivia G. 20. Zarate J.	20. Almada T. 15. Altamirano G. 12. Bottini A. (G) 16. Ibanez J. 17. Lopez J. 14. Velazquez J. 13. Velurtas P. 18. Vera S. 19. Zanotti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Vazquez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Cardozo E. 🟨,
63', Santiago M. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
63', Martinez E. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
63', Pascual L. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
67', Machado M. ↓, Mendoza L. ↑,
67', Vazquez M. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
74', Avaro E. ↓, Garrido O. ↑,
80', Cabral F. ↓, Zarate J. ↑,
80', Maldonado M. ↓, Valdivia G. ↑,
85', Fernandez R. ↓, Velurtas P. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mitre won 2.

Recent form of Mitre has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Almirante Brown is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Almirante Brown has had a series of home games.

Mitre will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mitre won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mitre won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Mitre - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.03%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.07.26	Mitre - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Mitre	3:0 ✺
05.07.26	Mitre - All Boys	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Almirante Brown - Mitre	3:1 ✺
14.06.26	Mitre - Los Andes	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTLL
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.07.26	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	All Boys - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Almirante Brown - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Almirante Brown - Mitre	3:1 ✺
14.06.26	Almirante Brown - Godoy Cruz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.06.26	Almirante Brown - Mitre	3:1
20.07.25	Almirante Brown - Mitre	2:0
16.03.25	Mitre - Almirante Brown	1:0
27.07.24	Mitre - Almirante Brown	2:1
10.03.24	Almirante Brown - Mitre	2:0
21.08.22	Almirante Brown - Mitre	2:0
01.08.21	Almirante Brown - Mitre	0:0

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