Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 21

Date: 30 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Aurinegro (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Llobet F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Mitre		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	4.5
	1.93	2.85	4.33
	1.95	2.9	4.5
	1.96	2.91	5.01
	2.07	2.86	4.31
	1.91	2.9	4.5
	1.89	2.94	4.77
	1.95	2.95	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.03)	2.91 (2.91)	4.55 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mitre
47.7%

Draw
31.9%

Atlético de Rafaela
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

32.3%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

32.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Mitre - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mitre will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mitre: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma J. (G) 15. Diaz C. 13. Agorreca N. 2. Piris O. 11. Sanchez M. 8. Castro T. 5. Alessandroni J. 16. Ferrari M. 10. Isa Luna K. 9. Cabral F. 18. Posse F.	1. Bilbao E. (G) 4. Portillo A. 2. Jappert K. 6. Colombo R. 3. Oliver F. 8. Berrondo A. 5. Aguero E. 10. Galeano J. 7. Aguirre J. 9. Albertengo L. 11. Vidal P.
Substitutes
19. Arevalos N. 12. Etcheverry B. (G) 3. Ferreyra T. 6. Melillan F. 4. Mieres B. 17. Triverio G. 14. Wiechniak F.	15. Bravo I. 12. Grinovero A. (G) 13. Kozlovsky N. 17. Macellari A. 16. Merlino L. 14. Stizza J. 20. Toldo F. 19. Tomatis B. 18. Valdivia M.
Coaches
Sciacqua M.	Nardozza F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Melillan F. ↓, Agorreca N. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Cabral F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Isa Luna K. ↓, Triverio G. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Castro T. ⚽,
55', Oliver F. ↓, Merlino L. ↑,
55', Berrondo A. ↓, Valdivia M. ↑,
66', Galeano J. ↓, Tomatis B. ↑,
72', Sanchez M. ↓, Antilef A. ↑,
72', Cabral F. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
83', Aguero E. ↓, Toldo F. ↑,
90', Agorreca N. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mitre won 3.

Mitre is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético de Rafaela has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Mitre is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mitre won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Mitre won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.06.24	San Telmo - Mitre	0:0 ✺
09.06.24	Chaco For Ever - Mitre	1:1 ✺
02.06.24	Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano	2:0 ✺
26.05.24	Club Almagro - Mitre	0:0 ✺
20.05.24	Mitre - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TTWTW
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.06.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
10.06.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
05.06.24	Argentinos Juniors - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.05.24	Colón - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
25.05.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Almirante Brown	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.02.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Mitre	0:0
08.10.23	Mitre - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1
28.05.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Mitre	0:1
29.05.22	Mitre - Atlético de Rafaela	2:2
31.03.19	Atlético de Rafaela - Mitre	0:1
18.03.18	Mitre - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0

Upcoming Matches