Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 17

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tres de Febrero (Jose Ingenieros)

Referee: Jerez J. (Arg)


	Club Almagro		Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.75	3.2
	2.55	2.65	3.1
	2.6	2.65	3.1
	2.71	2.63	3.31
	2.71	2.64	3.31
	2.6	2.7	3
	2.62	2.62	3.18
	2.55	2.65	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.51)	2.66 ↓ (2.75)	3.17 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Almagro
35.6%

Draw
35%

Mitre
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

33.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

34.7%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	57.1%	0%

Club Almagro - Mitre Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barrionuevo L. (G) 4. Basualdo N. (C) 9. Dornell T. 6. Falabella L. 3. Gancedo M. 7. Leal L. 2. Molina M. 11. Orlando J. 5. Rodriguez L. 8. Silva G. 10. Vedoya F.	1. Jachfe L. (G) 5. Alessandroni J. 10. Arevalos N. 9. Cabral F. 7. Castro T. 3. Ferreyra T. 6. Melillan F. 4. Mieres B. 2. Piris O. 11. Sanchez M. 8. Triverio G.
Substitutes
14. Aguilar J. J. 12. Champagne N. (G) 16. Conechny R. 13. Mattia F. 19. Mendoza J. 20. Obredor G. 15. Punet L. 18. Vasquez D.	14. Diaz C. 20. Encina E. 19. Ferrari M. 15. Gobetto J. P. 18. Isa Luna K. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 16. Posse F. 17. Torres J. 13. Wiechniak F.
Coaches
Sparapani L.	Sciacqua M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Ferreyra T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Orlando J. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
60', Triverio G. ↓, Isa Luna K. ↑,
65', Isa Luna K. 🟨,
69', Sanchez M. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
69', Arevalos N. ↓, Gobetto J. P. ↑,
72', Ferrari M. 🟨,
76', Ferreyra T. 🟨,
78', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
81', Castro T. ↓, Diaz C. ↑,
86', Gancedo M. ↓, Punet L. ↑,
86', Vedoya F. ↓, Conechny R. ↑,
90+4', Rodriguez L. ↓, Aguilar J. J. ↑,
90+5', Aguilar J. J. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 and 14).

Almagro is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mitre is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Almagro won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Almagro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.05.24	Aldosivi - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
13.05.24	Club Almagro - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
03.05.24	Colón - Club Almagro	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	Club Almagro - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Club Almagro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWL
- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.05.24	Mitre - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
15.05.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Mitre	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.05.24	Temperley - Mitre	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Mitre - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Nueva Chicago - Mitre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.02.22	Club Almagro - Mitre	2:1
21.04.19	Mitre - Club Almagro	2:4
27.10.17	Mitre - Club Almagro	1:0

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