Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 26

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Central Norte		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.57	3.60	Watch
	2.45	2.60	3.25
	2.50	2.70	3.00	Watch
	2.50	2.76	3.78
	2.68	2.62	3.24	Watch
	2.35	2.70	3.65
	2.45	2.62	3.59	Watch
	2.48	2.55	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.61)	2.64 ↓ (2.65)	3.42 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
37.6%

Draw
35.2%

Estudiantes de Caseros
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

35.2%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

34.5%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Central Norte - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Central Norte will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Norte (votes: 1 - 50%). CA Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - CA Estudiantes (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - CA Estudiantes (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Norte (votes: 1 - 25%). CA Estudiantes (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hass F. (G) 3. Sanz P. 2. Calderon E. 6. Lamosa A. 4. Rosales M. 7. Castro T. 5. Villarreal M. (C) 8. Ribero M. 10. Vedoya F. 11. Quiroga S. 9. Borda F.	1. Lungarzo J. (G) 2. Benitez J. 3. Quinteros F. 4. Albarracin M. 5. Melo R. 6. Caro Nicolas 7. Ardiles F. 8. Silva L. 9. Almiron E. 10. Degregorio B. 11. Vera I.
Substitutes
20. Aleo A. 15. Bustinduy A. 14. Felissia L. 17. Isa Luna K. 16. Mancuso G. 19. Mateo J. 18. Moravec M. 13. Padilla M. 12. Vazquez E. (G)	13. Bernardi B. 18. Camacho S. 14. Dure F. 19. Nunez M. 17. Rodriguez R. 16. Sanchez de Leon B. 15. Squie T. 20. Vergara J. 12. Vila F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Degregorio B. 🟨,
23', Ribero M. ↓, Mancuso G. ↑,
31', Sanz P. 🟨,
43', Degregorio B. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
45+2', Vera I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', Vera I. ↓, Vergara J. ↑,
57', Almiron E. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Benitez J. (Own goal),
67', Quiroga S. ↓, Bustinduy A. ↑,
67', Castro T. ↓, Mateo J. ↑,
69', Calderon E. 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Quinteros F. ⚽,
71', Albarracin M. ↓, Squie T. ↑,
71', Silva L. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
82', Vedoya F. ↓, Aleo A. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Borda F. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Central Norte won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Central Norte won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Central Norte - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.77%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Estudiantes de Caseros - the odds 3.22 are the expected chance of winning is 29%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.08.26	Central Norte - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
10.08.26	All Boys - Central Norte	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Central Norte - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Godoy Cruz - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Colón - Central Norte	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWLL
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.08.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.04.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Central Norte	1:0
29.06.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Central Norte	0:1
23.02.25	Central Norte - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1

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