Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 27

Date: 27 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Aurinegro (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Carreras J. (Arg)


	Mitre		Deportivo Riestra

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.88	3.1
	2.6	2.9	2.9
	2.71	2.76	3.19
	2.3	2.88	3.2
	2.59	2.92	3.04
	2.55	2.8	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.22)	2.86 ↓ (2.9)	3.08 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitre
36.7%

Draw
32.9%

Deportivo Riestra
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

31.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	66.7%	11.1%

Mitre - Deportivo Riestra Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mitre will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larrea K. (G) 4. Lamosa A. 2. Tapia R. 6. Almiron M. 3. Sanchez M. 7. Mieres B. 5. Alessandroni J. 8. Diaz G. 11. Juarez F. 9. Romero D. 10. Mayenfisch G.	1. Arce I. (G) 3. Benitez J. 4. Murillo Yaison 5. Dematei N. 6. Ramirez P. 2. Goitia J. 7. Borja J. 9. Torres F. 8. Romero L. 10. Landriel L. 11. Fernandez G.
Substitutes
14. Diaz C. 15. Ferrari M. 16. Franco E. 20. Galvan F. 17. Gimenez M. 18. Gonzalez D. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 13. Melillan F. 19. Rosales S.	12. Aguero F. (G) 13. Benitez G. 19. Gonzalez Herrero R. 18. Goya J. 14. Mac Eachen E. 17. Magallanes D. 20. Portillo S. 15. Villoldo T. 16. Zaninovic M.
Coaches
Grelak A.	Marchesi W.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mitre won 0.

Mitre is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Deportivo Riestra is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mitre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mitre won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Mitre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.08.23	Racing de Córdoba - Mitre	4:2 ✺
06.08.23	Mitre - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Tristán Suárez - Mitre	3:0 ✺
23.07.23	Mitre - Chacarita Juniors	1:2 ✺
17.07.23	Mitre - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL
- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.08.23	Deportivo Riestra - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
06.08.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	Deportivo Riestra - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Riestra	1:2 ✺
16.07.23	Deportivo Riestra - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.04.23	Deportivo Riestra - Mitre	0:0
01.08.22	Mitre - Deportivo Riestra	1:1
22.08.21	Mitre - Deportivo Riestra	0:2
12.04.21	Deportivo Riestra - Mitre	2:0
20.10.17	Deportivo Riestra - Mitre	2:1

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