Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 24

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio 20 de Octubre (Tristan Suarez)

Referee: Ceballos D. (Arg)


	Tristán Suárez		Mitre

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.6
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.1	2.8	3.6
	2.18	3.19	3.66
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.16	3.2	3.54
	2.26	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.62)	3.03 ↑ (2.93)	3.42 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristán Suárez
42.3%

Draw
30.6%

Mitre
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

30.7%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristán Suárez's performance.

Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mitre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tristán Suárez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mitre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	71.4%	0%

Tristán Suárez - Mitre Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendive J. (G) 4. Alvarez N. 2. Martinez L. 6. Pantaleone N. 3. Iriarte I. 8. Montenegro M. 5. Velez R. 10. Miranda B. 11. Canzoniero L. 7. Brambillo M. 9. Ayala Rodriguez S. A.	1. Larrea K. (G) 4. Tapia R. 2. Soto G. 6. Almiron M. 3. Ayala R. 7. Mieres B. 5. Alessandroni J. 8. Diaz G. 11. Juarez F. 9. Romero N. 10. Rosales S.
Substitutes
19. Banuera G. 20. Coniglio F. 18. Datolo J. 12. Giovini S. (G) 15. Gorosito I. 17. Messiniti N. 14. Ortega T. 13. Pared G. 16. Ruiz P.	19. Bustamante F. 14. Diaz C. 15. Ferrari M. 17. Gonzalez D. 20. Heiz N. 13. Lamosa A. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 18. Mayenfisch G. 16. Ramirez G.
Coaches
Di Noia G.	Grelak A.

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Tristán Suárez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tristán Suárez will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tristán Suárez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.07.23	Chaco For Ever - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
15.07.23	Tristán Suárez - Independiente Rivadavia	0:3 ✺
09.07.23	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	3:2 ✺
01.07.23	Tristán Suárez - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
24.06.23	Deportivo Madryn - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLTL
- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.07.23	Mitre - Chacarita Juniors	1:2 ✺
17.07.23	Mitre - Aldosivi	0:2 ✺
08.07.23	Chaco For Ever - Mitre	1:0 ✺
02.07.23	Mitre - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
25.06.23	Deportivo Maipú - Mitre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.03.23	Mitre - Tristán Suárez	0:1
17.04.22	Mitre - Tristán Suárez	2:1

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