Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 27

Date: 16 December 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
Venezuela	Inter
World	Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente Rivadavia		Deportivo Riestra

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	5	Watch
	1.78	3.3	4.75
	1.78	3.4	4.85	Watch
	1.81	3.46	5.32
	1.75	3.45	5.28	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.8
	1.77	3.52	4.91	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.24)	3.43 ↑ (3.17)	4.97 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
53.4%

Draw
27.6%

Deportivo Riestra
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.8%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

29%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Rivadavia's performance.

Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Riestra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Rivadavia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Riestra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	34.6%	3.8%

Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Riestra Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 1 - 3.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 34.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 42.8% – 80.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Centurion E. (G) 29. Abecasis L. 40. Villalba I. 42. Studer S. 16. Ostchega T. 23. Cardillo M. 26. Romero F. (C) 8. Ham E. 11. Tonetto D. 22. Villa S. 7. Ramis V.	1. Arce I. (G) 28. Sayavedra R. 22. Paz C. 40. Barrionuevo A. 6. James J. 5. Ramirez P. 27. Goitia J. 14. Monje P. 10. Bravo G. 7. Alonso A. 17. Fernandez G.
Substitutes
10. Alves G. 45. Andino T. 5. Burgos E. 20. Gallardo N. 14. Gomez L. 32. Marinelli G. (G) 25. Milo F. 15. Ortale M. 28. Rios G. 39. Romero F. 41. Ruiz M. 43. Sartori F.	32. Benegas N. 41. Bobadilla M. 33. Brito M. 38. Cavallera R. 20. Diaz A. 9. Herrera J. 12. Manganelli N. (G) 4. Murillo Yaison 16. Pereira G. 26. Rodriguez M. 37. Sanabria M. 35. Sanchez B.
Coaches
Berti A.	Fabbiani C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Fernandez G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bravo G. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
46', Alonso A. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
46', Fernandez G. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
58', Ostchega T. 🟨,
62', Ramis V. ↓, Sartori F. ↑,
63', Abecasis L. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
63', Tonetto D. ↓, Rios G. ↑,
74', Sanchez B. 🟨,
76', Goitia J. ↓, Pereira G. ↑,
78', Ham E. ↓, Burgos E. ↑,
81', Cardillo M. 🟨,
84', Centurion E. 🟨,
90+2', Cardillo M. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
90+6', Sanchez B. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,

Preview

Independiente R is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Deportivo Riestra is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Deportivo Riestra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Independiente R will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente R won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente R won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.12.24	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2 ✺
02.12.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors	2:1 ✺
25.11.24	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2 ✺
21.11.24	Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Racing - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 WWWWL
- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.12.24	Deportivo Riestra - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Deportivo Riestra - Banfield	1:1 ✺
18.11.24	Defensa y Justicia - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
11.11.24	Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
11.03.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Riestra	1:2
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.08.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Riestra	1:0
02.04.23	Deportivo Riestra - Independiente Rivadavia	3:3
23.07.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Riestra	2:0
15.04.18	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Riestra	0:1

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