Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 18

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Aurinegro (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Franklin A. (Arg)


	Mitre		Villa Dálmine

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.8	10
	1.39	4.2	7.75
	1.48	3.9	7
	1.37	4.55	9.94
	1.4	3.9	7.5
	1.39	4.35	9.2
	1.37	4	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.69)	4.1 ↑ (3.33)	8.74 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitre
66.5%

Draw
22.8%

Villa Dálmine
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.3%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

26.2%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mitre's performance.

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa Dálmine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mitre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa Dálmine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92%	0%	8%

Mitre - Villa Dálmine Predictions

Users Predictions: Mitre will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larrea K. (G) 4. Tapia R. 2. Soto G. 6. Melillan F. 3. Sanchez M. 7. Mieres B. 5. Alessandroni J. 8. Diaz G. 11. Gonzalez D. 9. Romero N. 10. Rosales S.	1. Kletnicki C. (G) 4. Cosciuc F. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Rosso F. 3. Maidana L. 7. Jofre L. 8. Perez R. 5. Gimenez J. 10. Castaneda D. 11. Groba G. 9. Molina J.
Substitutes
17. Bustamante F. 14. Diaz C. 15. Ferrari M. 20. Heiz N. 18. Juarez F. 13. Lamosa A. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 19. Mayenfisch G. 16. Ramirez G.	15. Alcaraz A. 20. Barberini V. 13. Cardozo D. 16. Gaitan N. 17. Gargiulo V. 19. Olivera M. 14. Pereyra A. 18. Rivadeneira M. 12. Salerno F. (G)
Coaches
Grelak A.	Pereyra C.

Preview

Mitre in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Villa Dálmine has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mitre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mitre is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mitre to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mitre won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Mitre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.06.23	Mitre - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Mitre	0:1 ✺
21.05.23	Mitre - Estudiantes de Caseros	3:0 ✺
14.05.23	Brown de Adrogué - Mitre	0:0 ✺
07.05.23	Mitre - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWTW
- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.06.23	Chaco For Ever - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	Villa Dálmine - Independiente Rivadavia	0:3 ✺
21.05.23	Deportivo Maipú - Villa Dálmine	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Villa Dálmine - Aldosivi	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Madryn	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.02.23	Villa Dálmine - Mitre	0:0
14.08.22	Mitre - Villa Dálmine	3:2
15.09.18	Villa Dálmine - Mitre	2:2
15.04.18	Mitre - Villa Dálmine	0:1

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