Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 13

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ciudad de La Banda (La Banda)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)


	Mitre		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	3.1
	2.4	2.9	2.95
	2.4	2.8	3.3
	2.55	2.88	3.29
	2.35	2.88	3.1
	2.42	3.06	3.15
	2.42	2.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.44)	2.91 ↑ (2.8)	3.13 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitre
38.3%

Draw
32%

Quilmes
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

33.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

32.5%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Mitre - Quilmes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mitre won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Mitre won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.04.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Mitre	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Mitre - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:2 ✺
17.04.23	Deportivo Riestra - Mitre	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	Mitre - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
03.04.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Mitre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLTTW
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.04.23	Quilmes - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Quilmes	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Villa Dálmine - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
03.04.23	Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.03.22	Mitre - Quilmes	1:3
03.10.21	Mitre - Quilmes	4:0
21.05.21	Quilmes - Mitre	2:1
10.02.19	Mitre - Quilmes	1:1
01.04.18	Mitre - Quilmes	1:1

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