Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 8

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Aurinegro (Santiago del Estero)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Mitre		Deportivo Madryn

	1	X	2
	1.96	2.75	4.75	Watch
	2.02	2.72	4.45	Watch
	2	2.89	4.87
	1.98	2.85	4.8	Watch
	1.95	2.7	4.6
	1.94	2.71	4.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.28)	2.77 ↑ (2.71)	4.69 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitre
46.9%

Draw
33.4%

Deportivo Madryn
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

34%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

32.8%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mitre's performance.

Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Madryn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Mitre - Deportivo Madryn Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mitre will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Antunes I. 2. Minissale P. 6. Ferreyra T. 3. Correa L. 8. Romero M. 5. Alessandroni J. (C) 11. Maldonado M. 7. Machado M. 9. Fernandez G. 10. Salto C.	1. Bonnin Y. (C) 4. Sosa A. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Ortiz N. D. 3. Ayala R. 8. Recalde F. 5. Calleros Y. 11. Machado C. 7. Cuero M. 9. Servetto N. 10. Solis N.
Substitutes
13. Abello D. 16. Gonzalez E. 17. Lopez A. 18. Montenegro M. 15. Ramirez A. 14. Rodriguez S. 12. Unrein G. (G) 19. Vazquez M. 20. Zarate J.	17. Barrientos N. 20. Bonacci P. 15. Cosi J. 14. Gutierrez A. 13. Martinez D. 19. Montagna E. 12. Montero M. (G) 16. Ospitaleche F. 18. Silba L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Sosa A. ⚽, Solis N. (A),
30', Minissale P. 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Ortiz N. D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 2, Fernandez G. ⚽,
60', Machado C. ↓, Montagna E. ↑,
60', Servetto N. ↓, Silba L. ↑,
67', Solis N. ↓, Ospitaleche F. ↑,
67', Cuero M. ↓, Barrientos N. ↑,
67', Maldonado M. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
69', Ferreyra T. 🟨,
73', Romero M. ↓, Zarate J. ↑,
80', Recalde F. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
84', Barrientos N. 🟨,
85', Correa L. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
85', Machado M. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
90+1', Ramirez A. 🟨,
90+3', Fernandez G. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 3, Calleros Y. ⚽, Barrientos N. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 13).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mitre is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mitre won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mitre won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.03.26	Güemes - Mitre	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Mitre	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Mitre - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Racing de Córdoba - Mitre	0:0 ✺
23.02.26	Mitre - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TTTTW
- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.03.26	Deportivo Madryn - San Martín de Tucumán	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Madryn - Estudiantes de Caseros	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	All Boys - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Godoy Cruz - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.02.26	San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Madryn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.07.24	Deportivo Madryn - Mitre	1:0
18.02.24	Mitre - Deportivo Madryn	1:0
15.10.23	Deportivo Madryn - Mitre	0:2
05.06.23	Mitre - Deportivo Madryn	1:0
25.09.22	Mitre - Deportivo Madryn	1:0

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