Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 6

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Consto Arena (Mjøndalen)

Referee: Hafezi M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Mjøndalen		Ranheim

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.15
	2.87	3.5	2.15
	3.1	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.08	3.71	2.22
	2.98	3.65	2.2	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.25
	3.01	3.72	2.21	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.9)	3.59 ↑ (3.55)	2.2 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjøndalen
31.3%

Draw
26.1%

Ranheim
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

25.9%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.3%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ranheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ranheim than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Mjøndalen - Ranheim Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Mjøndalen (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjøndalen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Oy L. (G) 26. Eriksen S. 2. Vik I. 5. Midtgarden E. (C) 15. Kvam F. 10. Neto L. 6. Skau J. 28. Sawaneh E. 11. Bruusgaard J. 18. Arsbog N. 20. Conteh A.	1. Nilsen S. (G) 19. Pereira J. 2. Slordahl P. (C) 4. Rosten H. 15. Tonne E. 21. Johnsen M. 18. Camara F. 6. Kolstad L. 11. Wenaas V. 20. Alvheim L. 10. Samuelsen A.
Substitutes
17. Bata K. 24. Birk D. 13. Bro P. S. (G) 30. Holst-Larsen F. 14. Midtgard O. 4. Mrakovic T. 7. Reutersward L. 37. Singh B. 34. Ween L.	9. Bye B. 5. Diang M. 8. Holden O. 23. Myrvagnes E. S. 30. Solvoll T. (G) 17. Torp-Helland D.
Coaches
Nicol K.	Rismark Ch.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Samuelsen A. ⚽, Camara F. (A),
30', 0 - 2, Alvheim L. ⚽, Wenaas V. (A),
41', Eriksen S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 2, Neto L. ⚽, Arsbog N. (A),
53', Tonne E. 🟨,
60', Arsbog N. ↓, Reutersward L. ↑,
60', Bruusgaard J. ↓, Bata K. ↑,
62', Johnsen M. ↓, Holden O. ↑,
62', Alvheim L. ↓, Bye B. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Kolstad L. ⚽,
71', Samuelsen A. ↓, Myrvagnes E. S. ↑,
71', Eriksen S. ↓, Holst-Larsen F. ↑,
72', Skau J. ↓, Midtgard O. ↑,
79', Bye B. 🟨,
90+3', Wenaas V. ↓, Torp-Helland D. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 4, Bye B. ⚽, Myrvagnes E. S. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjøndalen won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Mjøndalen won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mjøndalen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 2.1:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Mjøndalen - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.65%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Strømmen - Mjøndalen	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.05.25	Sogndal - Mjøndalen	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	Mjøndalen - Start	2:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Mjøndalen - Strømsgodset	2:1 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Aalesunds - Mjøndalen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WLLWT
- Ranheim IL
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Ranheim - Egersund	2:3 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.05.25	Ranheim - Kongsvinger	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Hødd - Ranheim	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Stjørdals-Blink - Ranheim	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Ranheim - Sogndal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
19.08.24	Ranheim - Mjøndalen	0:1
09.06.24	Mjøndalen - Ranheim	3:3
13.08.23	Mjøndalen - Ranheim	1:2
24.06.23	Ranheim - Mjøndalen	2:3
08.08.22	Ranheim - Mjøndalen	2:1
26.05.22	Mjøndalen - Ranheim	1:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
10.11.19	Mjøndalen - Ranheim	3:1

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