Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 6

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: EXTRA Arena (Trondheim)

Referee: Valen O. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Ranheim		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.75	2.38
	2.62	3.85	2.35	Watch
	2.62	3.96	2.47
	2.64	3.55	2.49	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.3
	2.54	3.76	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (3.1)	3.73 ↑ (3.68)	2.4 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ranheim
36.2%

Draw
25%

Kongsvinger
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

25.1%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

24.8%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ranheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ranheim's performance.

Kongsvinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kongsvinger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ranheim than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ranheim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kongsvinger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ranheim - Kongsvinger Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ranheim (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Storevik J. (G) 22. Haukeberg T. B. 19. Pereira J. 4. Kongerud T. 5. Pallas N. 15. Nyenetue F. 18. Camara F. 26. Sjovold S. 20. Fossli A. (C) 8. Holden O. 10. Johnsen M.	93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 17. Gjerstrom M. 3. Norheim S. 12. Mbow M. 2. Fors V. 27. Sande M. 23. Christensen F. 8. Dybevik A. (C) 28. Christiansen R. 22. Langrekken L. 11. Job D.
Substitutes
3. Aasbak C. 9. Berisha J. 7. Emilsen M. 24. Gangstad H. 12. Madsen O. (G) 25. Skammelsrud L. 2. Slordahl P. 21. Solberg E. 11. Sylva M.	1. Da Rocha W. (G) 29. Fjellman P. 18. Flores M. 6. Hansen A. 15. Lysell V. 5. Lysgard D. 24. Overby A. 16. Udnaes P.
Coaches
Rismark Ch.	Vennberg J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', Job D. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Holden O. ⚽, Nyenetue F. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Job D. ⚽, Fors V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Sjovold S. ↓, Sylva M. ↑,
70', Nyenetue F. ↓, Emilsen M. ↑,
73', Job D. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
77', Langrekken L. ↓, Overby A. ↑,
78', Camara F. 🟨,
82', Fossli A. ↓, Berisha J. ↑,
87', Camara F. ↓, Skammelsrud L. ↑,
88', Christiansen R. ↓, Udnaes P. ↑,
90+6', Pereira J. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ranheim won 1.

Ranheim is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kongsvinger is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ranheim won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ranheim won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.8:1.9).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Kongsvinger: 29.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kongsvinger	24	16	5	3	70:35	35	53
8	Ranheim	24	9	4	11	61:58	3	31

Last Results with these Odds

Ranheim - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.76%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ranheim IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.05.26	Ranheim - Moss	4:0 ✺
27.04.26	Egersund - Ranheim	3:0 ✺
17.04.26	Ranheim - Raufoss	5:1 ✺
12.04.26	Bryne - Ranheim	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	Ranheim - Östersund	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWT
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.05.26	Kongsvinger - Egersund	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Strømmen - Kongsvinger	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Kongsvinger - Moss	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Raufoss - Kongsvinger	1:3 ✺
07.04.26	Kongsvinger - Bryne	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.08.25	Kongsvinger - Ranheim	1:1
03.05.25	Ranheim - Kongsvinger	2:1
03.08.24	Ranheim - Kongsvinger	2:2
01.04.24	Kongsvinger - Ranheim	2:1
09.08.23	Ranheim - Kongsvinger	1:4
11.06.23	Kongsvinger - Ranheim	3:0
10.10.22	Ranheim - Kongsvinger	0:2

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