Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 2

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Consto Arena (Mjøndalen)

Referee: Tennoy M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Mjøndalen		Raufoss

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.8	2.3
	2.65	3.4	2.35
	2.7	3.6	2.45
	2.72	3.51	2.43	Watch
	2.74	3.55	2.39	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.14)	3.58 ↑ (3.42)	2.4 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjøndalen
34.8%

Draw
26.2%

Raufoss
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

27.3%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27.8%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mjøndalen's form might have worsened.

Raufoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raufoss's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mjøndalen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Raufoss, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mjøndalen - Raufoss Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjøndalen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Oy L. (G) 26. Eriksen S. 5. Midtgarden E. 2. Vik I. 3. Molund A. 6. Skau J. 8. Willumsen E. 16. Godwin F. 28. Sawaneh E. 20. Conteh A. 18. Arsbog N.	1. Klemensson A. (G) 22. Fors V. 4. Hansen A. 15. Hay K. 3. Bonde R. 14. Lynum J. 18. Somesi K. 23. Selnaes J. S. 24. Aanesland M. 9. Hustad E. 21. Agyeman Y.
Substitutes
17. Bata K. 24. Birk D. 21. Bratvold S. 13. Bro P. S. (G) 15. Kvam F. 14. Midtgard O. 4. Mrakovic T. 34. Ween L.	19. Aarflot E. 20. Ampofo J. 10. Badjie K. 30. Dalen Korsaksel J. 25. Engebakken T. E. 28. Jensen P. (G) 13. Nihorimbere A.
Coaches
Nicol K.	Dent T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Godwin F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Agyeman Y. 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Sawaneh E. ⚽, Conteh A. (A),
66', Agyeman Y. ↓, Badjie K. ↑,
66', Fors V. 🟨,
72', Arsbog N. ↓, Kvam F. ↑,
72', Godwin F. ↓, Bata K. ↑,
73', Hustad E. ↓, Ampofo J. ↑,
82', Bata K. 🟨,
84', Aanesland M. ↓, Aarflot E. ↑,
85', Willumsen E. ↓, Ween L. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Ampofo J. ⚽, Hay K. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mjøndalen won 2.

Recent matches Mjøndalen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Raufoss is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Mjøndalen have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Mjøndalen won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:14 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Mjøndalen won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.03.25	Egersund - Mjøndalen	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Mjøndalen - Haugesund	1:3 ✺
15.03.25	Mjøndalen - Moss	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Mjøndalen - Notodden	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Mjøndalen - Bryne	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWL
- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.04.25	Raufoss - Moss	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Raufoss - Kjelsås	4:0 ✺
18.03.25	Lillestrøm SK - Raufoss	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Moss - Raufoss	0:1 ✺
19.02.25	Raufoss - Ullensaker Kisa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
09.11.24	Raufoss - Mjøndalen	0:1
01.04.24	Mjøndalen - Raufoss	1:1
07.10.23	Raufoss - Mjøndalen	0:0
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Mjøndalen - Raufoss	0:4
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.23	Mjøndalen - Raufoss	3:0
04.08.22	Mjøndalen - Raufoss	1:2
07.07.22	Raufoss - Mjøndalen	2:1

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