Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 25

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: NAMMO Stadion (Raufoss) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Tennoy M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Norway	17:00	TV2 Play


	Raufoss		Moss

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.2	1.7
	3.30	3.70	1.90
	3.95	4.05	1.72
	4.46	4.31	1.72
	4.23	4.18	1.7	Watch
	4.35	4.15	1.66
	4	3.98	1.73	Watch
	3.85	3.95	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (2.9)	4.07 ↑ (3.55)	1.73 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raufoss
23.1%

Draw
23%

Moss
54%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.3%

25.5%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

24.9%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Raufoss's form might have worsened.

Moss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moss's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Raufoss, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moss, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Raufoss - Moss Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Moss will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klemensson A. (G) 15. Gartig E. 16. Larsen M. 17. Onsrud K. 2. Sjol J. 6. Froysa E. 8. Holter H. 3. Asvestad E. (C) 7. Sildnes E. 19. Karlsen H. 14. Agyeman Y.	1. Eriksen M. (C) 4. Ibsen N. 17. Andersen P. 5. Jebali O. 2. Cassidy M. 8. Vold Krohg H. 14. Musbaudeen J. 19. Overgaard L. 16. Kvale W. 7. Alexandersson N. 9. Aga O.
Substitutes
10. Aanesland M. 77. Camara M. 22. Coulibaly S. 30. Dalen Korsaksel J. 31. Danbolt U. 25. Engebakken T. E. 5. Gjerde E. 32. Martinsen E. 12. Synstelien D. M. G. (G)	26. Chidi E. 21. Gronli S. 23. Hermanstad R. 10. Njie M. 24. Njie M. 22. Ogbole J. 12. Rylandsholm M. (G) 27. Selnaes J. S. 20. Semmen N.
Coaches
Berget O. P.	Bakke G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Overgaard L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Alexandersson N. ↓, Semmen N. ↑,
49', Jebali O. 🟨,
63', Agyeman Y. ↓, Aanesland M. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Asvestad E. ⚽, Karlsen H. (A),
76', Musbaudeen J. ↓, Njie M. ↑,
81', Overgaard L. ↓, Njie M. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Semmen N. ⚽,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raufoss won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Moss carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Raufoss has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:17 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Raufoss against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:9 goals (averaging 1.6:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Moss	28	8	5	15	41:59	-18	29
16	Raufoss ✔	28	6	2	20	31:74	-43	20

Last Results with these Odds

Raufoss - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.27%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
06.10.26	Raufoss - Start	1:5 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.26	Raufoss - Strømsgodset	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Elverum - Raufoss	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.09.26	Raufoss - Odd	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Kongsvinger - Raufoss	9:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWL
- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.10.26	Moss - Kongsvinger	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
23.09.26	Grorud - Moss	2:1 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.26	Sandnes Ulf - Moss	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Moss - Haugesund	1:4 ✺
05.09.26	Stabæk - Moss	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.07.26	Moss - Raufoss	1:2
Club Friendly
27.02.26	Raufoss - Moss	3:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
08.11.25	Moss - Raufoss	1:1
01.04.25	Raufoss - Moss	3:2
Club Friendly
08.03.25	Moss - Raufoss	0:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.11.24	Moss - Raufoss	3:2
16.05.24	Raufoss - Moss	0:2

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