Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 15

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Melløs Stadion (Moss)

Referee: Pedersen H. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play
Norway	TV2 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Moss		Raufoss

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	4.1	Watch
	1.61	4.20	4.20
	1.72	3.95	4.15
	1.75	4.3	4.2
	1.63	4.1	4.82	Watch
	1.73	3.7	4.1
	1.74	3.94	4.14	Watch
	1.7	3.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.72)	3.99 ↑ (3.92)	4.21 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moss
54.6%

Draw
23.3%

Raufoss
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

23.7%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

23%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The chances for Raufoss have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moss than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Moss - Raufoss Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moss (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Moss will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksen M. (G) 2. Cassidy M. 3. Strande K. (C) 5. Jebali O. 16. Kvale W. 17. Andersen P. 14. Musbaudeen J. 21. Gronli S. 20. Semmen N. 23. Hermanstad R. 7. Laegreid J.	1. Klemensson A. (G) 6. Froysa E. 13. Achinioti-Jonsson A. 4. Gjelsvik S. 2. Sjol J. 11. Fremstad N. 8. Holter H. 3. Asvestad E. (C) 18. Engebakken T. 27. Zekhnini R. 7. Sildnes E.
Substitutes
9. Aga O. 26. Chidi E. 35. Christiansen M. 15. Engesvik A. A. 4. Harrison K. 31. Harveg J. 19. Overgaard L. 12. Rylandsholm M. (G) 8. Vold Krohg H.	10. Aanesland M. 14. Agyeman Y. 15. de Ornelas de Conno D. 25. Engebakken T. E. 5. Gjerde E. 16. Larsen M. 32. Martinsen E. 9. Rogulj A. 12. Synstelien D. M. G. (G)
Coaches
Nesselquist O. M.	Berget O. P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Zekhnini R. ⚽,
26', Musbaudeen J. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Laegreid J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cassidy M. ↓, Aga O. ↑,
46', Sildnes E. ↓, Aanesland M. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Zekhnini R. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Zekhnini R. 🟨,
62', Zekhnini R. ↓, Agyeman Y. ↑,
77', Holter H. 🟨,
79', Gronli S. ↓, Vold Krohg H. ↑,
79', Engebakken T. ↓, Rogulj A. ↑,
88', Holter H. ↓, Gjerde E. ↑,
90+4', Hermanstad R. ↓, Chidi E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moss won 1.

Moss is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Raufoss has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Moss is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Moss won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Moss won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Moss	24	7	4	13	38:54	-16	25
16	Raufoss	23	6	1	16	26:61	-35	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.07.26	Egersund - Moss	3:0 ✺
27.06.26	Strømmen - Moss	3:2 ✺
21.06.26	Moss - Sandnes Ulf	1:4 ✺
14.06.26	Sogndal - Moss	2:4 ✺
30.05.26	Moss - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWT
- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.07.26	Raufoss - Strømmen	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Sandnes Ulf - Raufoss	3:0 ✺
21.06.26	Raufoss - Sogndal	3:1 ✺
14.06.26	Strømsgodset - Raufoss	6:1 ✺
31.05.26	Raufoss - Haugesund	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.02.26	Raufoss - Moss	3:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
08.11.25	Moss - Raufoss	1:1
01.04.25	Raufoss - Moss	3:2
Club Friendly
08.03.25	Moss - Raufoss	0:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.11.24	Moss - Raufoss	3:2
16.05.24	Raufoss - Moss	0:2
03.09.23	Raufoss - Moss	1:1

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