Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 4

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday

Location: Consto Arena (Mjøndalen)

Referee: Bodding A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Mjøndalen		Start

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	2	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2
	3.4	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.45	3.66	2.08
	3.44	3.59	1.99	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.05
	3.45	3.56	2.04	Watch
	3.4	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.03)	3.53 ↓ (3.7)	2.03 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjøndalen
27.5%

Draw
26.5%

Start
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

25.5%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Start has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Start than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Mjøndalen - Start Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mjøndalen will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Start will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Start: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Start will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Oy L. (G) 26. Eriksen S. 5. Midtgarden E. (C) 2. Vik I. 3. Molund A. 17. Bata K. 6. Skau J. 11. Bruusgaard J. 28. Sawaneh E. 20. Conteh A. 18. Arsbog N.	1. Larsen J. (G) 4. Hansen S. 13. Griesbeck S. 3. Ujkani A. 2. Palerud F. 11. Schulze E. (C) 10. Mvoue S. 22. Nilsen A. E. 16. Strannegard T. 20. Lorentzen H. 27. Sunday G.
Substitutes
24. Birk D. 21. Bratvold S. 13. Bro P. S. (G) 15. Kvam F. 14. Midtgard O. 4. Mrakovic T. 37. Singh B. 34. Ween L.	25. Benjamin T. 30. Gausdal L. 29. Gono E. 5. Jebali O. 37. Kolbeinshavn J. 31. Seim J. 24. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G)
Coaches
Nicol K.	Karadas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Schulze E. ⚽, Strannegard T. (A),
26', Mvoue S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Molund A. ↓, Kvam F. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Conteh A. ⚽, Bruusgaard J. (A),
59', 1 - 2, Schulze E. ⚽, Lorentzen H. (A),
60', Bruusgaard J. ↓, Midtgard O. ↑,
61', Sunday G. ↓, Gono E. ↑,
71', Palerud F. ↓, Seim J. ↑,
79', Arsbog N. 🟨,
81', Seim J. ↓, Gausdal L. ↑,
81', Bata K. ↓, Bratvold S. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Conteh A. ⚽, Sawaneh E. (A),
88', 2 - 3, Nilsen A. E. ⚽, Hansen S. (A),
90+7', Kvam F. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mjøndalen won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Start will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Mjøndalen won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16:27 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Mjøndalen won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Mjøndalen - Strømsgodset	2:1 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Aalesunds - Mjøndalen	0:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
12.04.25	Åssiden - Mjøndalen	1:4 ET ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.04.25	Mjøndalen - Raufoss	1:1 ✺
31.03.25	Egersund - Mjøndalen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WTWTL
- IK Start
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Pors - Start	3:2 ET ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Start - Hødd	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Skeid - Start	1:3 ✺
31.03.25	Start - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Start - Viking Stavanger	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 64.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.08.24	Start - Mjøndalen	1:0
15.04.24	Mjøndalen - Start	1:1
21.10.23	Mjøndalen - Start	2:0
08.07.23	Start - Mjøndalen	3:0
Club Friendly
01.04.23	Start - Mjøndalen	3:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.07.22	Mjøndalen - Start	0:0
11.04.22	Start - Mjøndalen	1:1

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