Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 5

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Consto Arena (Mjøndalen)

Referee: Bodding E. (Nor)


	Mjøndalen		Vålerenga

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.2	1.5
	5.5	4.1	1.49
	6	4.33	1.5
	5.9	4.51	1.5
	5.82	4.54	1.51
	6	4	1.44
	5.58	4.19	1.51	Watch
	5.6	4.1	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.77 ↑ (4.37)	4.25 ↑ (3.92)	1.49 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjøndalen
16.1%

Draw
21.8%

Vålerenga
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

23.7%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

23.4%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mjøndalen's form might have worsened.

Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vålerenga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vålerenga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mjøndalen - Vålerenga Predictions

Users Predictions: Vålerenga will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kinn T. (G) 21. Vogt P. 4. Holten R. 3. Skogen S. 5. Overby S. 19. Brenden E. 11. Olsen M. 8. Sveen O. 24. Pedersen M. 27. Tokstad K. 17. Singh B.	21. Sjoeng M. (G) 2. Borchgrevink C. 4. Olsen A. 23. Kreuzriegler M. 18. Jukleroed S. 29. Ambina F. 15. Hagen E. 11. Hakans D. 24. Strand P. 7. Riisnaes M. 19. Kamara O.
Substitutes
18. Appiah S. 20. Conteh A. 16. Dahlby J. 13. Fagereng A. (G) 23. Helgeland E. 14. Singh K.	25. El Abdellaoui J. 5. Fasika I. 6. Hedenstad V. 3. Kjelsen A. 14. Obasi O. 27. Ronning A. 22. Sjovold S. 1. Storevik J. (G) 26. Thorvaldsen F.
Coaches
Nicol K.	Bakke G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Overby S. ⚽, Singh B. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Strand P. ⚽, Jukleroed S. (A),
21', Kreuzriegler M. 🟨,
34', Kreuzriegler M. ↓, Kjelsen A. ↑,
35', Singh B. ↓, Conteh A. ↑,
40', Tokstad K. 🟨,
43', Fredriksen T. 🟨,
44', Olsen A. ↓, Obasi O. ↑,
45+3', 2 - 1, Conteh A. ⚽, Olsen M. (A),
45+5', 3 - 1, Conteh A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
64', Holten R. 🟨,
64', Holten R. ↓, Dahlby J. ↑,
65', Tokstad K. ↓, Appiah S. ↑,
71', Strand P. ↓, Sjovold S. ↑,
71', Kamara O. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
71', Riisnaes M. ↓, Thorvaldsen F. ↑,
75', 4 - 1, Conteh A. ⚽,
77', Brenden E. ↓, Helgeland E. ↑,
77', Olsen M. ↓, Singh K. ↑,
86', 5 - 1, Singh K. ⚽,
90', Helgeland E. 🟨,
90', 5 - 2, El Abdellaoui J. ⚽, Borchgrevink C. (A),
90+1', Vogt P. 🟨,
90+7', 5 - 3, Borchgrevink C. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mjøndalen won 0.

Recent matches Mjøndalen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vålerenga is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vålerenga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vålerenga have a series of guest games.

In this match Vålerenga is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Mjøndalen won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Mjøndalen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Eidsvold Turn - Mjøndalen	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.04.24	Mjøndalen - Start	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Ørn-Horten - Mjøndalen	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.04.24	Sogndal - Mjøndalen	3:1 ✺
01.04.24	Mjøndalen - Raufoss	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWLT
- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
25.04.24	Oppsal - Vålerenga	0:4 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.04.24	Lyn - Vålerenga	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Vålerenga - Stabæk	1:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Union Carl Berner - Vålerenga	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.04.24	Raufoss - Vålerenga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
05.12.21	Vålerenga - Mjøndalen	2:0
24.05.21	Mjøndalen - Vålerenga	1:1
03.10.20	Vålerenga - Mjøndalen	4:1
12.07.20	Mjøndalen - Vålerenga	0:1
Club Friendly
04.06.20	Mjøndalen - Vålerenga	0:2
25.01.20	Mjøndalen - Vålerenga	2:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
01.12.19	Mjøndalen - Vålerenga	1:0

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