Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 3

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)

Referee: Koloy M. (Nor)


	Vålerenga		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	4.75
	1.58	3.9	4.8
	1.63	4	5	Watch
	1.57	4.09	6.06
	1.55	4.06	6.02
	1.53	4	4.8
	1.59	4.04	4.94	Watch
	1.59	3.9	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.61)	4.02 ↑ (3.9)	5.15 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga
58.9%

Draw
23.1%

Stabæk
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

23.6%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

23.2%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vålerenga - Stabæk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vålerenga will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Sjoeng M. (G) 6. Hedenstad V. 4. Olsen A. 23. Kreuzriegler M. 18. Jukleroed S. 29. Ambina F. 15. Hagen E. 11. Hakans D. 8. Bjordal H. (C) 24. Strand P. 9. Rijks M.	1. Rossbach S. (G) 15. Veum O. 2. Pedersen K. 4. Naess N. (C) 11. Walstad N. 14. Roberts T. 17. Olderheim S. 6. Christensen M. 27. Wendt W. 9. Diabate B. 7. Vinge R. E.
Substitutes
2. Borchgrevink C. 25. El Abdellaoui J. 5. Fasika I. 19. Kamara O. 3. Kjelsen A. 7. Riisnaes M. 1. Storevik J. (G) 22. Thorstensen S. 26. Thorvaldsen F.	20. Andresen A. 10. Geelmuyden H. 8. Hegardt C. 24. Kostadinov K. 22. Opseth K. 19. Riise F. 21. Spiten-Nysaeter O. 28. Tobiassen B. 23. Ulla M. (G)
Coaches
Bakke G.	Bradley B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Diabate B. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Rijks M. ⚽, Bjordal H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 1 - 2, Pedersen K. ⚽, Roberts T. (A),
62', 1 - 3, Pedersen K. ⚽,
65', Jukleroed S. ↓, Borchgrevink C. ↑,
66', Rijks M. ↓, Kamara O. ↑,
66', Bjordal H. ↓, Riisnaes M. ↑,
67', Walstad N. ↓, Andresen A. ↑,
68', Wendt W. ↓, Kostadinov K. ↑,
73', Hakans D. ↓, Thorvaldsen F. ↑,
79', Hedenstad V. 🟨,
81', Veum O. ↓, Riise F. ↑,
81', Diabate B. ↓, Opseth K. ↑,
88', Olderheim S. ↓, Hegardt C. ↑,
90', Rossbach S. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vålerenga won 3.

Vålerenga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Stabæk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Vålerenga is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Vålerenga won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Vålerenga won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Union Carl Berner - Vålerenga	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.04.24	Raufoss - Vålerenga	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Vålerenga - Sogndal	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.24	AIK - Vålerenga	4:0 ✺
17.03.24	Vålerenga - Tromsø	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTLW
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Asker Fotball - Stabæk	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.04.24	Stabæk - Bryne	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Aalesunds - Stabæk	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.24	Stabæk - Lillestrøm SK	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Viking Stavanger - Stabæk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
12.11.23	Vålerenga - Stabæk	0:0
29.05.23	Stabæk - Vålerenga	2:1
Club Friendly
23.02.22	Vålerenga - Stabæk	3:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
29.08.21	Vålerenga - Stabæk	3:1
24.06.21	Stabæk - Vålerenga	0:2
02.12.20	Stabæk - Vålerenga	1:1
21.06.20	Vålerenga - Stabæk	2:2

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