Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen - Round 4

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Nadderud Stadion (Bekkestua)

Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)


	Lyn		Vålerenga

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.57
	4.6	3.8	1.62
	4.75	4.2	1.63	Watch
	5.01	4.17	1.62
	5.01	4.17	1.63
	4.6	3.9	1.57
	4.71	4.04	1.61	Watch
	4.5	3.95	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.69 ↑ (3.45)	4.03 ↑ (3.66)	1.61 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyn
19.7%

Draw
22.9%

Vålerenga
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

25.3%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

24.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lyn's form might have worsened.

Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vålerenga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vålerenga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Lyn - Vålerenga Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lyn will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Vålerenga will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedersen A. (G) 18. Nilsen H. 6. Schneider D. 4. Sell W. (C) 3. Sjol J. 19. Myhre T. 5. Bydal E. 7. Kristiansen H. 9. Olsen A. 11. Hellum A. 10. Johansen M.	21. Sjoeng M. (G) 2. Borchgrevink C. (C) 4. Olsen A. 23. Kreuzriegler M. 18. Jukleroed S. 29. Ambina F. 15. Hagen E. 11. Hakans D. 7. Riisnaes M. 24. Strand P. 9. Rijks M.
Substitutes
16. Berntsen A. 33. Engh V. (G) 20. Hanstad J. 77. Hylen B. 25. Ingebrigtsen M. 14. Laajab I. 22. Meinseth H. 21. Skaug J. 2. Skulstad J.	25. El Abdellaoui J. 5. Fasika I. 6. Hedenstad V. 19. Kamara O. 3. Kjelsen A. 27. Ronning A. 22. Sjovold S. 1. Storevik J. (G) 26. Thorvaldsen F.
Coaches
Halvorsen J.	Bakke G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', Rijks M. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Hakans D. ⚽, Hagen E. (A),
37', Rijks M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Hellum A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Myhre T. ↓, Skaug J. ↑,
73', Johansen M. ↓, Hanstad J. ↑,
73', Hellum A. ↓, Laajab I. ↑,
77', Jukleroed S. ↓, Hedenstad V. ↑,
79', Borchgrevink C. 🟨,
90', Schneider D. 🟨,
90', Riisnaes M. ↓, Kamara O. ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Lyn have a series of guest games.

In this match Vålerenga is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lyn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Lyn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyn Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.04.24	Aalesunds - Lyn	0:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Heming - Lyn	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
07.04.24	Lyn - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Moss - Lyn	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.24	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Lyn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWTLL
- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.04.24	Vålerenga - Stabæk	1:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Union Carl Berner - Vålerenga	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.04.24	Raufoss - Vålerenga	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Vålerenga - Sogndal	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.24	AIK - Vålerenga	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Lyn - Vålerenga	1:2
25.07.21	Lyn - Vålerenga	0:4
04.06.14	Vålerenga - Lyn	5:2

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