Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 17

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Consto Arena (Mjøndalen)

Referee: Holthe H. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Mjøndalen		Sogndal

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.75	1.85
	3.1	3.5	2
	3.5	3.75	1.92	Watch
	3.85	3.91	1.9
	7.34	4.95	1.37	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2
	3.43	3.78	1.98	Watch
	3.21	3.94	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.23)	3.87 ↓ (3.9)	1.88 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjøndalen
24.4%

Draw
24.7%

Sogndal
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

24.2%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

23.6%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Sogndal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Mjøndalen - Sogndal Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mjøndalen will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Sogndal will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sogndal will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Oy L. (G) 2. Vik I. 5. Midtgarden E. (C) 27. Kekeli K. 7. Reutersward L. 16. Godwin F. 10. Saetherbo K. 3. Molund A. 28. Sawaneh E. 20. Arierhi K. 15. Kvam F.	1. Jendal L. (G) 2. Bras D. 33. Granheim S. A. 13. Flo P. (C) 88. Onyango R. 18. Hagen V. 16. Vapne L. 8. Flaten J. 9. Hintsa O. 23. Sturgeon F. 7. Pedersen S.
Substitutes
18. Arsbog N. 17. Bata K. 21. Bratvold S. 13. Bro P. S. (G) 11. Bruusgaard J. 26. Eriksen S. 66. Nicol L. A. 34. Ween L. 8. Willumsen E.	20. Asp P. 14. Haruna J. 11. Mensah E. 32. Oren M. 21. Saetren D. (G) 17. Sjolstad M. 29. Steinset K.
Coaches
Nicol K.	Pimenta L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Hintsa O. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Hintsa O. ⚽, Sturgeon F. (A),
22', Vik I. 🟨,
27', Sturgeon F. ↓, Steinset K. ↑,
35', Arierhi K. (Pen),
36', 1 - 2, Arierhi K. ⚽, Reutersward L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Godwin F. ↓, Willumsen E. ↑,
61', Reutersward L. ↓, Bruusgaard J. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Arierhi K. ⚽, Molund A. (A),
66', Hagen V. ↓, Oren M. ↑,
66', Onyango R. ↓, Sjolstad M. ↑,
79', Midtgarden E. ↓, Bata K. ↑,
79', Saetherbo K. ↓, Eriksen S. ↑,
81', Bras D. 🟨,
85', Hintsa O. ↓, Asp P. ↑,
89', 2 - 3, Asp P. ⚽, Sjolstad M. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjøndalen won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sogndal could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mjøndalen won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mjøndalen won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.08.25	Skeid - Mjøndalen	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Start - Mjøndalen	4:0 ✺
30.07.25	Mjøndalen - Åsane	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Mjøndalen - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Hødd - Mjøndalen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLWTL
- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.08.25	Sogndal - Hødd	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Sogndal - Skeid	1:1 ✺
30.07.25	Moss - Sogndal	3:1 ✺
26.07.25	Sogndal - Stabæk	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Lillestrøm SK - Sogndal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.05.25	Sogndal - Mjøndalen	1:0
21.10.24	Mjøndalen - Sogndal	0:0
06.04.24	Sogndal - Mjøndalen	3:1
12.11.23	Sogndal - Mjøndalen	1:1
10.06.23	Mjøndalen - Sogndal	0:0
14.08.22	Mjøndalen - Sogndal	0:4
27.06.22	Sogndal - Mjøndalen	1:0

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