The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mobilieri Ponsacco 18.9%
Draw 24.7%
Follonica Gavorrano 56.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.6%
26.6%
55.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.3%
26.1%
56.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mobilieri Ponsacco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Follonica Gavorrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mobilieri Ponsacco than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Souare T. ⚽,
51', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).
Recent matches Mobilieri Ponsacco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Follonica Gavorrano is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Follonica Gavorrano is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Mobilieri Ponsacco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Mobilieri Ponsacco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.