Match Info

ITALY: COPPA ITALIA SERIE D - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Follonica Gavorrano		Varesina

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.8
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.21	3.2	2.98
	2.21	3.1	2.98
	2.23	3.1	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.74)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	2.96 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Follonica Gavorrano
41.3%

Draw
28.3%

Varesina
30.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.8%

27.7%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

27.1%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Follonica Gavorrano's form might have worsened.

Varesina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varesina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Follonica Gavorrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varesina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Follonica Gavorrano - Varesina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Follonica Gavorrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Follonica Gavorrano have a series of guest games.

Follonica Gavorrano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Follonica Gavorrano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Follonica Gavorrano
Italian Serie D - Group E
10.03.24	Cenaia - Follonica Gavorrano	0:3 ✺
03.03.24	Tau Altopascio - Follonica Gavorrano	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
28.02.24	Varesina - Follonica Gavorrano	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
24.02.24	Follonica Gavorrano - Seravezza Pozzi	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Grosseto - Follonica Gavorrano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWTWL
- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
03.03.24	Caravaggio - Varesina	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
28.02.24	Varesina - Follonica Gavorrano	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
18.02.24	Folgore Caratese - Varesina	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
11.02.24	Union Clodiense - Varesina	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.02.24	Varesina - Tritium	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie D
28.02.24	Varesina - Follonica Gavorrano	2:2

Follonica Gavorrano - Varesina

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Follonica Gavorrano - Varesina Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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