The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Modena 46.6%
Draw 28.5%
Bari 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
30.3%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
30.5%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Modena's performance.
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bari might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Modena that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Modena - Bari Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Bari will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 31.2% โ 83%.
1. Chichizola L. (C) 8. Santoro S. 98. Zanimacchia L. 28. Adorni D. 77. Tonoli D. 16. Gerli F. 18. Pyyhtia N. 20. Nieling B. 9. Gliozzi E. 7. Zampano F. 23. Di Mariano F.
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 7. Sibilli G. 21. Partipilo A. 23. Vicari F. (C) 8. Pagano R. 24. Dickmann L. 11. Moncini G. 27. Braunoder M. 43. Nikolaou D. 29. Verreth M. 93. Dorval M.
Substitutes
78. Bagheria F. (G) 2. Beyuku G. 10. Caso G. 33. Cauz C. 29. Cotali M. 92. Defrel G. 25. Dellavalle A. 6. Magnino L. 11. Mendes P. 19. Nador S. 4. Pergreffi A. 5. Sersanti A.
16. Antonucci M. 10. Bellomo N. 3. Burgio R. 4. Castrovilli G. 5. Darboe E. 15. Kassama S. 18. Maggiore G. 13. Meroni A. 20. Pereiro G. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 25. Pucino R. 17. Rao E.
Coaches
Sottil A.
Caserta F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Dorval M. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Gliozzi E. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Gliozzi E. (Pen),
56', Partipilo A. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
57', Pagano R. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
59', Braunoder M. 🟨,
67', Pyyhtia N. ↓, Sersanti A. ↑,
67', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
71', Braunoder M. ↓, Maggiore G. ↑,
74', Sersanti A. 🟨,
78', Di Mariano F. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
79', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
81', Dorval M. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
88', Santoro S. ↓, Magnino L. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Mendes P. ⚽, Defrel G. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 2.
Modena is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Bari is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Modena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Modena: Caso G.
(Inactive)
Ponsi F.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Bari: Gytkjaer C.
(Inactive)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Modena won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Bari - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.36%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Chichizola L. (C) 
Santoro S. 
Pyyhtia N. 
Nieling B. 
Braunoder M. 
Nikolaou D. 
Verreth M. 
Dorval M. 
Beyuku G. 
Mendes P. 
Nador S. 
Darboe E. 
Pereiro G. 
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