Match Info

Serie B - Round 2

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Bari		Monza

	1	X	2
	2.85	3	2.5	Watch
	3	3	2.45
	2.98	2.98	2.45	Watch
	3.13	2.98	2.65
	6.15	3.84	1.55	Watch
	3	2.9	2.45
	3.04	3.04	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.02)	3.11 ↑ (3.07)	2.37 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
28.1%

Draw
31.2%

Monza
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

30.7%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

31%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	45.5%	45.5%

Bari - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Monza will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bari (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 23. Vicari F. (C) 43. Nikolaou D. 93. Dorval M. 27. Braunoder M. 29. Verreth M. 8. Pagano R. 21. Partipilo A. 11. Moncini G. 7. Sibilli G.	20. Thiam D. (G) 15. Delli Carri F. 13. Ravanelli L. 3. Lucchesi L. 19. Birindelli S. 32. Pessina M. (C) 14. Obiang P. 7. Azzi P. 23. Galazzi N. 10. Caprari G. 47. Mota D.
Substitutes
16. Antonucci M. 10. Bellomo N. 4. Castrovilli G. 32. Colangiuli V. 15. Kassama S. 30. Mane M. 12. Marfella D. (G) 76. Mavraj I. 20. Pereiro G. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 25. Pucino R. 17. Rao E.	25. Alvarez A. 17. Balde K. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 21. Colombo L. 33. Domanico S. 9. Maric M. 70. Martins K. 37. Petagna A. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 16. Sardo J. 43. Strajnar A. (G)
Coaches
Caserta F.	Bianco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Mota D. ⚽, Caprari G. (A),
4', Ravanelli L. 🟨,
16', 1 - 1, Moncini G. ⚽,
19', Obiang P. 🟨,
27', Caprari G. 🟨,
33', Partipilo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Galazzi N. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
70', Partipilo A. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
75', Caprari G. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
75', Mota D. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
75', Braunoder M. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
79', Lucchesi L. ↓, Brorsson A. ↑,
80', Moncini G. ↓, Kassama S. ↑,
80', Vicari F. ↓, Antonucci M. ↑,
82', Kassama S. 🟨,
88', Delli Carri F. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Monza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Monza has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Bari: Colangiuli V. (Inactive) Gytkjaer C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Inactive) Bakoune A. (Inactive) Carboni A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Monza: Forson O. (Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
24.08.25	Venezia - Bari	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.25	Milan - Bari	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Bari - Picerno	3:0 ✺
04.08.25	Bari - Casarano	2:3 ✺
26.07.25	Bari - Campobasso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLW
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
23.08.25	Monza - Mantova	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.25	Monza - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.25	Monza - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
06.08.25	Atalanta - Monza	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Monza - AlbinoLeffe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTLW

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