Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 3

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Bari		Casarano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.25	3.30
	1.92	3.25	3.7	Watch
	2.01	3.45	3.83
	1.95	3.37	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3.35	3.6
	2	3.46	3.57	Watch
	1.9	3.35	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.65)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	3.6 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
47%

Draw
27.4%

Casarano
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.6%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bari's form might have worsened.

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casarano's recent form is better than expected.

Bari - Casarano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 19. Mane M. 3. Mantovani V. (C) 79. Elia M. 27. Burgio R. 5. Darboe E. 8. Grgic L. 25. Maggiore G. 7. Butic K. 9. Gomez G. 21. Della Morte M.	97. Farroni A. (G) 2. Ciotti P. 36. Matino E. 34. Negro S. 33. Mercadante M. 21. Zanellato N. 17. Maiello R. (C) 11. Ferrara V. 10. Chirico C. 99. Patierno C. 37. Cuzzarella C.
Substitutes
24. Bianchi F. 33. Celli A. 72. Cocetta N. 32. Colangiuli V. 77. Esposito M. 10. Manzari G. 44. Mendicino L. 12. Mezzapesa A. (G) 6. Mogos V. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 91. Spadavecchia P. 11. Tribuzzi A.	1. Bacchin F. (G) 9. Grandolfo F. 29. Gyamfi B. 7. Knezovic B. 46. Leonetti V. 23. Logoluso G. 8. N’Diaye A. 6. Obleac M. 77. Palumbo F. 30. Podrini F. 27. Versienti L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Matino E. 🟨,
35', Matino E. 🟨,
39', Cuzzarella C. ↓, Versienti L. ↑,
43', Butic K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Burgio R. ↓, Celli A. ↑,
57', Maggiore G. ↓, Esposito M. ↑,
57', Butic K. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
63', Darboe E. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Bianchi F. ⚽, Della Morte M. (A),
69', Zanellato N. ↓, Logoluso G. ↑,
70', Chirico C. ↓, Leonetti V. ↑,
79', Patierno C. ↓, Grandolfo F. ↑,
79', Negro S. ↓, Obleac M. ↑,
86', Della Morte M. ↓, Tribuzzi A. ↑,

Preview

Bari is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bari is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bari	9	6	1	2	13:6	7	19
15	Casarano	8	3	1	4	10:13	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.09.26	Bari - Picerno	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
28.08.26	Barletta - Bari	3:0 ✺
21.08.26	Bari - Cavese	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Bari - Casarano	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Virtus Lanciano - Bari	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWW
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
28.08.26	Casarano - Giugliano	4:3 ✺
21.08.26	Potenza - Casarano	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Bari - Casarano	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
20.05.26	Brescia - Casarano	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Casarano - Brescia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Bari - Casarano	1:0
Club Friendly
04.08.25	Bari - Casarano	2:3

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