Match Info

Serie B - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena)

Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	OneFootball TV


	Modena		Empoli

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.10	7.50	Watch
	1.46	4.20	6.75
	1.50	4.00	6.25	Watch
	1.48	4.50	7.63
	1.62	3.75	5.63	Watch
	1.46	4.45	7.10
	1.49	4.16	7.24	Watch
	1.44	4.40	7.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.66)	4.2 ↑ (3.72)	6.89 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
63.7%

Draw
22.5%

Empoli
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.1%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

24.2%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Modena's performance.

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Modena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Modena - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chichizola L. (C) 77. Tonoli D. 6. Nador S. 20. Nieling B. 27. Azzi P. 10. Caso G. 16. Brugman G. 42. Bianco A. 7. Zampano F. 72. Olzer G. 70. Ambrosino G.	12. Seghetti J. (G) 8. Magnino L. (C) 6. Romagnoli S. 33. Cauz C. 91. Corrado N. 98. Zedadka K. 21. Yepes G. 39. Biondini E. 15. Ceesay J. 10. Saporiti E. 11. Shpendi S.
Substitutes
32. Acquah W. 28. Adorni D. 29. Bacchin L. 11. Belotti A. 17. Bozhanaj K. 22. Consiglio L. (G) 23. Folino F. 26. Imputato A. 9. Montevago D. 34. Ronco D. 8. Santoro S. 33. Stenio	57. Belardinelli L. 36. Bembnista D. 40. Berizzi R. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 44. Deli L. 20. Di Stefano F. 13. Filippis E. (G) 38. Huqi M. 28. Indragoli G. 1. Perisan S. (G) 77. Popov B.
Coaches
Galloppa D.	Pagliuca G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Magnino L. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Yepes G. ⚽,
41', Shpendi S. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Olzer G. 🟨,
55', Olzer G. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Belotti A. ⚽, Tonoli D. (A),
65', Brugman G. ↓, Santoro S. ↑,
66', Bianco A. 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Ambrosino G. ⚽, Bianco A. (A),
77', Biondini E. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
82', Cauz C. 🟨,
83', Azzi P. ↓, Folino F. ↑,
83', Ambrosino G. ↓, Acquah W. ↑,
83', Caso G. ↓, Stenio ↑,
89', Yepes G. ↓, Belardinelli L. ↑,
89', Magnino L. ↓, Deli L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Empoli could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Modena has faced a series of away games on the road.

Modena carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Modena: Laidani A. (Injury) Manquant J. (Injury) Sarris G. (Inactive) Sersanti A. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Empoli: Curto M. (Red Card).

Doubtful / questionable for Empoli: Monaco S. (Inactive).

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Modena has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:11 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Modena against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Modena: 9.77% Empoli: 1.55%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Modena	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
13	Empoli	5	2	0	3	4:6	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
12.09.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Modena - Avellino	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Cremonese - Modena	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Benevento - Modena	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.26	Venezia - Modena	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TLWWL
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
11.09.26	Empoli - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Carrarese - Empoli	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Mantova - Empoli	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Empoli - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.26	Pisa - Empoli	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
31.01.26	Empoli - Modena	0:0
24.10.25	Modena - Empoli	2:1
15.03.14	Modena - Empoli	0:0
05.10.13	Empoli - Modena	2:1
19.03.13	Modena - Empoli	2:3
27.10.12	Empoli - Modena	4:2
21.04.12	Empoli - Modena	1:3

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