Match Info

Date: 22 January 2022, Saturday


	Modena		Fermana

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.2	7.75	Watch
	1.4	3.85	6.25
	1.46	3.75	6
	1.42	4.12	7.74
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.43	4.15	7.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)	3.97 ↓ (4.32)	6.89 ↓ (7.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
64%

Draw
22.8%

Fermana
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

21.5%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.2%

18.3%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Fermana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Modena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (-3%)

Modena - Fermana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 15).

Modena in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Fermana is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Modena is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Modena to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Modena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
22.12.21	Modena - Grosseto	2:1 ✺
19.12.21	Pontedera - Modena	1:2 ✺
12.12.21	Modena - Gubbio	3:2 ✺
05.12.21	Imolese - Modena	1:2 ✺
28.11.21	Modena - Pistoiese	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW
- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
22.12.21	Viterbese - Fermana	0:0 ✺
19.12.21	Fermana - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Olbia - Fermana	0:0 ✺
05.12.21	Reggiana - Fermana	2:1 ✺
28.11.21	Fermana - Imolese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
19.09.21	Fermana - Modena	0:4
27.03.21	Fermana - Modena	1:0
05.12.20	Modena - Fermana	1:0
21.10.19	Modena - Fermana	1:1

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