Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 9

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Fermana		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.3	1.66
	4.75	3.4	1.75
	5	3.27	1.81
	5	3.27	1.81
	4	3.25	1.8
	4.7	3.34	1.7
	4.6	3.5	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↑ (3.25)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	1.75 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
19.8%

Draw
27.6%

Virtus Entella
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

28.9%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fermana's form might have worsened.

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus Entella's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fermana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus Entella, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Fermana - Virtus Entella Predictions

Users Predictions: Virtus Entella will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borghetto N. (G) 2. Eleuteri A. 5. Spedalieri J. 30. Laverone L. 27. Calderoni M. 8. Scorza C. 20. Giandonato M. (C) 26. Misuraca G. 10. Pinzi R. 9. Curatolo D. 70. Semprini M.	22. De Lucia V. (G) 77. Parodi L. (C) 16. Manzi C. 4. Bonini F. 26. Di Mario S. 14. Corbari A. 25. Petermann D. 17. Tascone S. 98. Mosti N. 92. Santini C. 30. Zamparo L.
Substitutes
87. Benkhalqui M. O. 19. Biral N. 16. Fontana T. 6. Fort F. 22. Furlanetto A. (G) 21. Grassi L. 12. Mancini A. (G) 14. Padella E. 11. Paponi D. 3. Pistolesi F. 15. Santi P. 18. Vessella M.	29. Banfi E. 10. Clemenza L. 9. Disanto F. 21. Faggioli A. 6. Kontek I. 79. Lancini E. 24. Lipani J. 12. Mazzadi S. (G) 5. Muller Cecchini M. 1. Paroni A. (G) 28. Reali S. 23. Sadiki K. 20. Siatounis A. 7. Tomaselli G.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 12).

Fermana is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Virtus Entella is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Virtus Entella is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
15.10.23	SPAL - Fermana	0:0 ✺
09.10.23	Fermana - Perugia	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	Pescara - Fermana	6:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.23	Vis Pesaro - Fermana	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	Fermana - Cesena	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLTL
- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie C Group B
15.10.23	Virtus Entella - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Virtus Entella - Olbia	3:1 ✺
30.09.23	Carrarese - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Virtus Entella - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Vis Pesaro - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
04.02.23	Virtus Entella - Fermana	2:0
09.10.22	Fermana - Virtus Entella	0:1
23.04.22	Virtus Entella - Fermana	2:1
19.12.21	Fermana - Virtus Entella	1:1

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