Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 10

Date: 25 October 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Olbia		Fermana

	1	X	2
	1.93	3	3.6
	2	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.04	3.05	3.93
	2.04	3.01	3.93
	1.8	3.3	4.2
	1.94	3.13	3.75
	1.92	3.05	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.2)	3.11 ↑ (2.95)	3.88 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olbia
46.9%

Draw
29.5%

Fermana
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

30.1%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olbia's performance.

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fermana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Olbia - Fermana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rinaldi F. (G) 23. Arboleda C. 5. Bellodi G. 39. Motolese M. 43. Montebugnoli M. 6. Incerti D. F. 4. Dessena D. 21. Biancu R. 10. Ragatzu D. 11. Contini G. 18. Nanni N.	22. Furlanetto A. (G) 5. Spedalieri J. 14. Padella E. 27. Calderoni M. 2. Eleuteri A. 8. Scorza C. 20. Giandonato M. 30. Laverone L. 10. Pinzi R. 69. Montini M. 70. Semprini M.
Substitutes
24. Belloni L. 30. Caggiu M. 20. Cavuoti N. 27. Fabbri F. 3. La Rosa L. 26. Mameli A. 12. Palmisani L. (G) 17. Palomba L. 67. Scapin T. 2. Zallu F. 15. Zanchetta F.	19. Biral N. 1. Borghetto N. (G) 9. Curatolo D. 16. Fontana T. 6. Fort F. 34. Gasbarro A. 21. Grassi L. 12. Mancini A. (G) 26. Misuraca G. 11. Paponi D. 3. Pistolesi F. 7. Tilli R. 18. Vessella M.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Olbia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fermana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Olbia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Olbia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Olbia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Olbia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
22.10.23	Gubbio - Olbia	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Virtus Entella - Olbia	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Sassari Torres - Olbia	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
01.10.23	Olbia - Ancona	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Olbia - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
22.10.23	Fermana - Virtus Entella	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	SPAL - Fermana	0:0 ✺
09.10.23	Fermana - Perugia	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	Pescara - Fermana	6:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.23	Vis Pesaro - Fermana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
31.01.23	Olbia - Fermana	2:4
02.10.22	Fermana - Olbia	0:0
14.04.22	Fermana - Olbia	1:3
12.12.21	Olbia - Fermana	0:0

Olbia - Fermana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide