Match Info

Coppa Italia - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cagliari		Verona

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.50	3.80
	1.93	3.20	3.80
	1.87	3.40	4.10	Watch
	2.05	3.27	4.22
	1.93	3.36	4.02	Watch
	1.92	3.35	4.25
	1.90	3.57	4.08	Watch
	1.85	3.30	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.79)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)	4.03 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
48.9%

Draw
27.8%

Verona
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

27.7%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.3%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	27.8%	0%

Cagliari - Verona Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Radunovic B. (G) 22. Kofler R. 15. Rodriguez J. (C) 24. Aurelio G. 17. Felici M. 27. Liteta J. 6. Winks H. 39. Fadera A. 20. Ciervo R. 10. Fazzini J. 31. Mendy P.	34. Perilli S. (G) 37. Calabrese N. 48. Korac S. 5. Edmundsson A. (C) 71. De Battisti D. 21. Harroui A. 20. Kastanos G. 14. Livramento D. 23. Lella N. 9. Sarr A. 79. Sezonienko K.
Substitutes
8. Adopo M. 30. Akarakiri A. 1. Caprile E. (G) 14. Deiola A. 21. Gagliardini R. 36. Grandu N. 70. Maldini D. 79. Massolin Y. 33. Obert A. 2. Pedro J. 4. Romano A. 12. Sherri A. (G) 35. Sugamele A. 32. Sulev I.	24. Bernede A. 35. Cerbone S. 70. Cham F. 11. Compagnon M. 44. Iannoni E. 1. Leali N. (G) 17. Le Borgne A. 19. Mulattieri S. 33. Tagne N. 22. Toniolo G. (G) 4. Zappa G.
Coaches
Pisacane F.	Baroni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Harroui A. ⚽, Livramento D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Liteta J. ↓, Romano A. ↑,
46', Aurelio G. ↓, Obert A. ↑,
46', Sarr A. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Mendy P. ⚽, Fadera A. (A),
58', Kastanos G. ↓, Bernede A. ↑,
58', Harroui A. ↓, Iannoni E. ↑,
63', Felici M. ↓, Maldini D. ↑,
63', Fazzini J. ↓, Adopo M. ↑,
64', Lella N. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
66', Iannoni E. 🟨,
68', Adopo M. 🟨,
68', De Battisti D. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,
73', Korac S. 🟨,
84', Winks H. ↓, Deiola A. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Mulattieri S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 3.

Cagliari has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Verona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Verona has had a series of home games.

In this match, Cagliari is the team to beat.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
30.08.26	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Parma - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Cagliari - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.26	Cagliari - Nice	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Union Berlin - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWTT
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie B
29.08.26	Padova - Verona	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Verona - Ascoli	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.26	Verona - Virtus Entella	3:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Verona - Lecco	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Verona - Dolomiti Bellunesi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
31.01.26	Cagliari - Verona	4:0
26.10.25	Verona - Cagliari	2:2
28.04.25	Verona - Cagliari	0:2
29.11.24	Cagliari - Verona	1:0
01.04.24	Cagliari - Verona	1:1
23.12.23	Verona - Cagliari	2:0
30.04.22	Cagliari - Verona	1:2

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