Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Club Friendly 🌤️ ...


	Lugano		Verona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.40	2.70
	2.23	3.30	2.75
	2.16	3.41	2.81
	2.19	3.51	2.89
	2.13	3.35	2.75
	2.37	3.60	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.6)	3.43 ↓ (3.74)	2.76 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
40.8%

Draw
26.4%

Verona
32.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

24.9%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

24.6%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Verona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Verona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lugano - Verona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Gebhardt F. (G) . Ajeti Al. . Bichsel J. . Castro Espinosa B. D. . Dos Santos D. . Grgic A. . Kelvin D. . Kendouci A. . Marques M. . Papadopoulos A. . Zanotti M.	. Perilli S. (G) . Calabrese N. . Dawidowicz P. . De Battisti D. . Iannoni E. . Le Borgne A. . Lella N. . Mosquera D. . Sarr A. . Sezonienko K. . Zappa G.
Substitutes
. Ajdin G. . Bislimi U. . Carbone . Cimignani Y. . Gervasini L. . Jakupovic K. . Mai L. . Mina D. (G) . Pihlstrom E. . Raffa C.	. Akale R. . Albertini F. . Bernede A. . Cham F. . Ekuban C. . Frese M. . Harroui A. . Leali N. (G) . Livramento D. . Luchetti A. . Raccanello M. (G) . Tagne N. . Zanin D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', Mosquera D. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Mosquera D. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Sezonienko K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 2, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽,
48', Harroui A. 🟨,
49', 🟨,
56', 1 - 3, Iannoni E. ⚽,

Preview

Lugano has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Verona is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Lugano has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:5.

Specifically in home fixtures for Lugano against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:5 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Lugano - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.75%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Verona - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.39%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
20.09.26	Lausanne-Sport - Lugano	0:4 ✺
16.09.26	Lugano - St. Gallen	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Lugano - Young Boys	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Basel - Lugano	1:3 ✺
03.09.26	Lugano - Servette	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTWW
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie B
20.09.26	Verona - Vicenza Virtus	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Benevento - Verona	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Verona - Arezzo	5:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.09.26	Cagliari - Verona	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
29.08.26	Padova - Verona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.11.14	Lugano - Verona	1:5

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