Match Info

Federation Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Muktijuddho Sriti Stadium (Rajshahi)


	Brothers Union		Mohammedan

	1	X	2
	9.09	5.05	1.28	Watch
	4.34	3.38	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.72 ↑ (3.64)	4.22 ↑ (3.6)	1.51 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brothers Union
14.2%

Draw
22.6%

Mohammedan
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

25.5%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

24.9%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brothers Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brothers Union's form might have worsened.

Mohammedan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mohammedan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brothers Union than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brothers Union, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mohammedan than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mohammedan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brothers Union - Mohammedan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Dewan S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 1 - 1, Bhuyan J. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Dewan S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brothers Union won 0.

Recent form of Brothers Union has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mohammedan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Brothers Union has had a series of home games.

In this match, Mohammedan is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Brothers Union won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:23. (average 0.8:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Brothers Union won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.6:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brothers Union
Bangladesh BFL
09.05.26	Brothers Union - Rahmatganj	3:1 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
05.05.26	Brothers Union - Bashundhara Kings	0:4 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
30.04.26	Brothers Union - Arambagh Krira Sangha	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Bashundhara Kings - Brothers Union	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Brothers Union - PWD SC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTLL
- Mohammedan Dhaka
Bangladesh BFL
09.05.26	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Mohammedan	0:2 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
05.05.26	Rahmatganj - Mohammedan	0:3 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
30.04.26	Mohammedan - Bashundhara Kings	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	PWD SC - Mohammedan	1:3 ✺
17.04.26	Mohammedan - Fakirerpool YMC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bangladesh BFL
02.01.26	Brothers Union - Mohammedan	0:0
23.05.25	Mohammedan - Brothers Union	3:3
17.01.25	Brothers Union - Mohammedan	0:1
20.04.24	Mohammedan - Brothers Union	8:0
Bangladesh Federation Cup
30.01.24	Brothers Union - Mohammedan	1:2
Bangladesh BFL
12.01.24	Brothers Union - Mohammedan	1:5
10.08.21	Mohammedan - Brothers Union	2:0

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