Match Info

INDIA: ISL - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Kishore Bharati Krirangan (Kolkata)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Mohammedan Kolkata		ATK Mohun Bagan

	1	X	2
	5	3.9	1.5	Watch
	5.75	4.2	1.46
	5.8	4.1	1.46
	6.26	4.13	1.52
	6.61	4.2	1.48
	6	4	1.44
	6.55	4.33	1.43	Watch
	5.8	4.1	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.97 ↓ (6.02)	4.12 ↓ (4.21)	1.47 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mohammedan Kolkata
15.3%

Draw
22.2%

ATK Mohun Bagan
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

21.6%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

20.9%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mohammedan Kolkata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ATK Mohun Bagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mohammedan Kolkata than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ATK Mohun Bagan than the current prediction. (+3%)

Mohammedan Kolkata - ATK Mohun Bagan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chettri P. (G) 34. Vanlalzuidika 69. Ogier F. 24. Zoherliana J. 66. Parray S. 4. Kasimov M. 10. Gomez A. 16. Irshad M. 15. Singh M. 9. Franca 29. Lalremsanga	1. Kaith V. (G) 44. Rai A. 32. Biswas D. 5. Aldred T. 15. Bose S. 17. Colaco L. 18. Samad S. 45. Apuia 11. Singh M. 35. Cummings J. 29. Maclaren J.
Substitutes
5. Bora G. 19. Chote M. 55. Jassim M. 21. Mafela 27. Roy B. (G) 44. Schmerbock M. 8. Singh A. 22. Singh S. 62. Singh T. A.	63. Bhanwala S. 72. Bhat S. 19. Kuruniyan A. 9. Petratos D. 31. Shaikh A. (G) 12. Singh M. (G) 10. Stewart G. 16. Suryavanshi A. 22. Tangri D.
Coaches
Chernyshov A.	Molina J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Bose S. ⚽, Biswas D. (A),
20', 0 - 2, Singh M. ⚽, Cummings J. (A),
36', Apuia 🟨,
43', 0 - 3, Bose S. ⚽, Maclaren J. (A),
45+4', Kasimov M. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Aldred T. 🟨,
53', 0 - 4, Singh M. ⚽, Cummings J. (A),
59', Irshad M. ↓, Mafela ↑,
59', Parray S. ↓, Bora G. ↑,
62', Samad S. ↓, Suryavanshi A. ↑,
62', Singh M. ↓, Petratos D. ↑,
80', Singh M. ↓, Singh A. ↑,
81', Gomez A. ↓, Schmerbock M. ↑,
81', Cummings J. ↓, Stewart G. ↑,
81', Colaco L. ↓, Kuruniyan A. ↑,
83', Suryavanshi A. 🟨,
89', Biswas D. ↓, Bhanwala S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ ISL (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mohammedan won 2.

Recent matches Mohammedan is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mohun Bagan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mohun Bagan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mohun Bagan is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Mohammedan won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Mohammedan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mohammedan Kolkata
Indian ISL
26.01.25	Mumbai City - Mohammedan Kolkata	3:0 ✺
15.01.25	Mohammedan Kolkata - Chennaiyin	2:2 ✺
11.01.25	Bengaluru - Mohammedan Kolkata	0:1 ✺
03.01.25	NorthEast United - Mohammedan Kolkata	0:0 ✺
27.12.24	Mohammedan Kolkata - Odisha	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 LTWTT
- ATK Mohun Bagan
Indian ISL
27.01.25	ATK Mohun Bagan - Bengaluru	1:0 ✺
21.01.25	Chennaiyin - ATK Mohun Bagan	0:0 ✺
17.01.25	Jamshedpur - ATK Mohun Bagan	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	ATK Mohun Bagan - East Bengal	1:0 ✺
02.01.25	ATK Mohun Bagan - Hyderabad	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Indian ISL
05.10.24	ATK Mohun Bagan - Mohammedan Kolkata	3:0
Calcutta Premier Division
29.09.23	Mohammedan Kolkata - ATK Mohun Bagan	2:0
14.09.23	ATK Mohun Bagan - Mohammedan Kolkata	2:2
Indian Premier Division A
19.09.19	ATK Mohun Bagan - Mohammedan Kolkata	2:3
18.09.18	ATK Mohun Bagan - Mohammedan Kolkata	2:1
11.09.17	ATK Mohun Bagan - Mohammedan Kolkata	2:1
Indian I-League
08.03.14	Mohammedan Kolkata - ATK Mohun Bagan	0:0

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