Match Info

Date: 10 June 2022, Friday


	Mokpo City		Cheongju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.87	2.75
	2.1	3.15	3.2
	2.44	2.95	2.8
	2.58	3.13	2.8
	2.7	2.75	2.5
	2.51	3.13	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.11)	3 ↓ (3.02)	2.8 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mokpo City
37%

Draw
30.4%

Cheongju
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

31%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

30.6%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mokpo City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mokpo City's form might have worsened.

Cheongju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cheongju's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mokpo City than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mokpo City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheongju than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cheongju, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	56.2%	25%

Mokpo City - Cheongju Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Mokpo City will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Cheongju will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).

Recent matches Mokpo City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cheongju is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mokpo City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mokpo City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Mokpo City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mokpo City FC
South Korean K3 League
04.06.22	Yangju Citizen - Mokpo City	2:2 ✺
28.05.22	Mokpo City - Gangneung	2:3 ✺
22.05.22	Mokpo City - Ulsan Citizen	0:0 ✺
14.05.22	Pocheon - Mokpo City	2:0 ✺
07.05.22	Mokpo City - Dangjin Citizen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLTLW
- Cheongju FC
South Korean K3 League
04.06.22	Cheongju - Changwon City	3:2 ✺
28.05.22	Gimhae - Cheongju	2:0 ✺
22.05.22	Cheongju - Hwaseong	0:3 ✺
14.05.22	Gyeongju KH&NP - Cheongju	4:0 ✺
08.05.22	Paju Frontier - Cheongju	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
27.02.22	Cheongju - Mokpo City	3:1
30.10.21	Mokpo City - Cheongju	1:2
09.06.21	Cheongju - Mokpo City	1:2
13.06.20	Mokpo City - Cheongju	0:1

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