Match Info

Cymru North - Round 28

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Mold Alexandra		Gresford Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.65	3.3
	1.89	3.72	3.39
	1.93	4.02	3.29	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.25
	1.96	4.12	3.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.94)	3.8 ↓ (4.02)	3.28 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mold Alexandra
48.2%

Draw
24%

Gresford Athletic
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

23.3%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

23%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mold Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Gresford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mold Alexandra than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gresford Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Mold Alexandra - Gresford Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Nash R. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Cartwright H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Ozlu H. (Penalty Awarded),
88', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mold Alexandra won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Gresford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mold Alexandra will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mold Alexandra won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mold Alexandra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mold Alexandra	10	6	2	2	24:13	11	20
15	Gresford	9	2	1	6	6:21	-15	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mold Alexandra
Welsh Cymru North
21.03.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Mold Alexandra	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Airbus UK Broughton - Mold Alexandra	8:0 ✺
07.03.26	Mold Alexandra - Ruthin Town	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Guilsfield - Mold Alexandra	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Mold Alexandra - Rhyl	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWWL
- Gresford Athletic
Welsh Cymru North
20.03.26	Ruthin Town - Gresford Athletic	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Newtown - Gresford Athletic	0:5 ✺
01.03.26	Gresford Athletic - Holyhead Hotspur	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Gresford Athletic - Flint Mountain	3:0 ✺
13.02.26	Llandudno - Gresford Athletic	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
05.09.25	Gresford Athletic - Mold Alexandra	1:0
01.03.25	Mold Alexandra - Gresford Athletic	1:3
08.11.24	Gresford Athletic - Mold Alexandra	2:2
23.03.24	Mold Alexandra - Gresford Athletic	1:0
17.11.23	Gresford Athletic - Mold Alexandra	1:5
25.03.23	Mold Alexandra - Gresford Athletic	1:2
12.08.22	Gresford Athletic - Mold Alexandra	0:1

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